Commodities Trading: A Sneak Peek At Gold

By Adam Hewison – This week could be shaping up to be an extraordinary week in the markets. I strongly recommend that traders everywhere take precautionary measure measures to protect capital.

Last week we gave you a Trade Triangle alert to exit the gold market on the long side. Since that alert was issued gold has dropped significantly.

In today’s short video I bring you up to date with our thoughts on what we think is going to happen next to gold.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. I would really like to hear back from you in regards to your thoughts on this video.

Watch the New Video Now…

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

FOREX: Is The US Dollar Reversing Again?

By Adam Hewison – It’s been a while since we did a video on the euro/dollar relationship. This relationship may be reversing again based on recent price action. In today’s short video I point out some of the changes we see happening in this market.

This week could be shaping up to be an extraordinary week in the markets. I strongly recommend that traders everywhere take precautionary measure measures to protect capital.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. I would really like to hear back from you with regards to your thoughts on this video.

Watch the New Video Now…

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

A Sneak Peek At The S&P 500

By Adam Hewison – This week could be shaping up to be an extraordinary week in the markets. I strongly recommend that traders everywhere take precautionary measure measures to protect capital.

While the S&P 500 made new highs for the year last week, it did not do so in a very convincing manner. In today’s short video I show you some of the elements that I think should be cause for concern.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. I would really like to hear back from you with regards to your thoughts on this video.

Watch the New Video now…

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

How Safe Is Your Bank, Really?

Our FREE report reveals why the FDIC guarantee is just an “illusion”

By Nico Issac

  • So far in 2010, the number of US bank failures has reached 25, a rate of two per week. This compares to 25 total bank failures for ALL of 2008, and three for 2007.
  • The benchmark KBW Bank Index still stands 60% below its 2007 peak, while one-third of all US banks reported a net loss for 2009.
  • The FDIC’s list of “problem” institutions rose from 552 to 702 from Q3 to Q4 of 2009.
  • And each new day could bring a new, personally addressed letter to announce the name change of your financial institution.

Yet — no matter how grave the data gets, few people imagine the corporate banking crisis trickling down to average Joe or Jane and their lollipop-dispensing drive-through bank tellers.

It’s not naive to think that, either. The agreement is understood: Money goes into the bank as liquid capital, and comes out as a loan certificate. Practically speaking, your account balance is only as secure as the loans the bank makes with its depositors’ money. The trust in that exchange reflects two main beliefs:

1) Banks know best how to allocate their clients’ money so as to ensure the greatest risk-to-reward ratio.
2) Banks are guaranteed by the Federal government, via the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Well, as the latest report from our complimentary Club EWI service reveals — neither one is as it seems. This 15-page exclusive compiles the most groundbreaking insights from various collected works of EWI president Bob Prechter himself, including: the best-selling book Conquer the Crash and previous Elliott Wave Theorist publications. Off the top are these riveting thought-burners:

How are banks using your money? Not wisely. “At latest count, US banks report $6.942 Trillion in deposits, and $6.945 Trillion in loans. In other words, the average bank in the US has lent out 100% of its deposits.”

Where is your money going? For the most part, it’s tied up in mortgage-backed securities. Last count: One in every 418 U.S. homes have filed for foreclosure, while the rate of default on commercial mortgages doubled in Q4 of 2009. See the problem?

What about the trusted sticker in the front window of US banks assuring that the FDIC guarantees to refund depositor’s losses of up to $100,000? Well, as the Club EWI report reveals, this sticker is merely a “symbol of confidence,” NOT a certainty of it. The piece goes on to add:

“Did you know that most of the FDIC’s money comes from other banks? When the FDIC rescues weak banks by charging healthier ones higher ‘premiums,’ overall bank deposits are depleted, causing the net loan-to-deposit ratio to rise. Ultimately the federal government backs the FDIC, which sounds like a sure thing. But if tax receipts fall, the government will be hard pressed to save a large number of banks with its own diminishing supply of capital. Huge illusions can melt away in a flash if the system fails.”

Where then is a bank I can trust? Here, the Club EWI report provides a list of the Top 100 highest-rated banks in America by state based on third-quarter 2009 data. The publication also reveals the global jurisdictions that “provide wealth preservation service as opposed to interest income and daily transaction conveniences.”

Inside the revealing free report, you’ll discover:

  • The 100 Safest U.S. Banks (2 for each state)
  • Where your money goes after you make a deposit
  • How your fractional-reserve bank works
  • What risks you might be taking by relying on the FDIC’s guarantee

Please protect your money. Download the free 10-page “Safe Banks” report now.

Learn more about the “Safe Banks” report, and download it for free here.


Nico Isaac writes for Elliott Wave International, a market forecasting and technical analysis firm.

AUD/USD Drifts Lower as Risk Trade Pulls Back

By Fast Brokers – The AUD/USD is drifting lower today as the EUR/USD and Cable pull back following Friday’s topside breakout.  While the Aussie’s interest rate differential continues to work in the currency pair’s favor, recent employment and housing related data was disappointing, meaning the RBA could hold off on another rate hike at its next policy meeting unless fundamentals take a turn for the positive soon.  With Australia quiet on the data wire this week, investors will likely hone in on upcoming U.S. numbers and the FOMC meeting on Tuesday.  Should the Fed make a hawkish alteration to its monetary policy statement this could place some downward pressure on the Aussie over speculation that the Fed could tighten liquidity in the near future.  However, should the Fed maintain its loose monetary policy stance for the foreseeable future, the Aussie’s upward momentum could remain intact.  Meanwhile, investors will receive a U.S. data set, including the Empire Index, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and TIC long-Term Purchases.

Technically speaking, the Aussie has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with 3/11 lows, 3/9lows, and the psychological .90 area.  As for the topside, the Aussie has multiple downtrend lines serving as technical barriers along with the psychological .92 area.  Additionally, previous 2010 highs could serve as a hefty technical barrier should they be tested.

Price: .9145

Resistances: .9160, .9171, .9186, .9194, .9213, .9227

Supports: .9120, .9104, .9090, .9073, .9052

Psychological: .92, 2010 highs

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

Gold Retests $1100/oz

By Fast Brokers – Gold is retesting its highly psychological $1100/oz area after Friday’s pullback.  Gold experienced another leg down despite pops in the EUR/USD and GBP/USD.  These two currency pairs are normally positively correlated with gold, so it’s interesting that gold isn’t behaving according to its usual Dollar correlation.  Meanwhile, gold is fighting to hold $1100/oz.  Gold did drop below our 2nd tier uptrend line on Friday, a negative development technically since the 2nd tier runs through 2/12 lows, or the $1075/oz . zone.  Hence, gold could be in for further weakness over the near-term should the precious metal not overcome some topside technicals quickly.  While gold sank below key technical cushions on Friday, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD popped above some important technical barriers.  Therefore, it will be interesting to see whether we are witnessed a more lasting shift in correlation.  The U.S. will be in focus again today with a thorough data set on the way.  However, tomorrow’s Fed meeting will likely capture the spotlight since investors will be watching to see whether the central bank shifts its loose monetary policy stance.  The EU will also release its ZEW Economic Sentiment data tomorrow, meaning volatility could pick up in the FX markets over the next 24 hours.

Technically speaking, gold faces multiple downtrend lines along with 3/11and 3/12 highs.  As for the downside, gold still has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions, highlighted by our 2nd tier which runs through 2/12 lows.  Furthermore, the psychological $1100/oz area could continue to have an influence on gold over the near-term.

Present Price: $1104.50/oz

Resistances: $1105.05, $1106.26, $1108.17/oz, $1109.58/oz, $1110.98/oz, $1112.29/ oz

Supports: $1105.05/oz, $1102.82/oz, $1101.73/oz, $1100.35/oz, $1099.05/oz, $1097.74/oz

Psychological: $1100/oz, $1150/oz, March highs and Lows

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

Potential Reversal for AUD/JPY

By Anton Eljwizat – The volatility of the AUD/JPY pair continues to be affected by the action in the forex market. The last three weeks has seen much bullish strength in the AUD/JPY pair. However, as I demonstrate below, it seems that the pair’s bullish run may have run out of steam, and a bearish correction could be underway soon. This might be a good opportunity for forex traders to enter the trend at a very early stage and at a great entry price.

• Below is the daily chart of AUD/JPY currency pair.

• The technical indicators that are used are the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Slow Stochastic and MACD.

• Point 1: There is a “doji” candlestick that has formed on the chart, indicating that a reversal should take place.

• Point 2: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the price of this cross currently floats in the overbought territory, signaling downward pressure.

• Point 3: The Slow Stochastic indicates a bearish cross, signaling that the next move may be in a downward direction.

• Point 4: The MACD indicates an impending bearish cross, which may signal a downward movement is going to occur in the near future.

AUD/JPY Daily Chart

Forex Market Analysis provided by Forex Yard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

USD/JPY Consolidates Above 90

By Fast Brokers – The USD/JPY is consolidating above its psychological 90 level after Friday’s wild fluctuations in the wake of U.S. consumption data.  Although the USD/JPY popped after stronger than expected Retail Sales figures, the currency pair’s upward momentum was stifled by a disappointing UoM Consumer Sentiment figure.  However, the USD/JPY has managed to avoid a retest of 90 in the process and its upward momentum stemming from March lows is still intact.  The USD/JPY peaked above our 3rd tier downtrend line on Friday, a development worth mentioning since it runs through 2/22 highs, or the 91.70 level.  Hence, the USD/JPY could be in for more near-term gains should U.S. economic data print favorably.  Since the BoJ has been more dovish than the Fed, positive U.S. data benefits the USD/JPY due to speculation that the Fed will tighten before the BoJ.  That being said, there’s an FOMC meeting on Tuesday and it will be interesting to see whether the central bank makes any adjustments to its monetary policy language.  If the Fed should exert a more hawkish stance this could also benefit the USD/JPY.  Meanwhile, the U.S. will release a data set today, including the Empire Index, Industrial Production, TIC Long-Term Purchases and the Capacity Utilization Rate.  Hence, volatility could pick up as the trading session progresses.

Technically speaking, the USD/JPY faces our new downtrend lines along with 3/12 and 2/17 highs.  Meanwhile, the highly psychological 90 area could have an influence over the USD/JPY’s movements for the near-term.  As for the downside, the USD/JPY has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with 3/15 and 3/9 lows.

Present Price: 90.68

Resistances: 90.69, 90.81, 90.89, 90.95, 91.04, 91.11

Supports: 90.61, 90.54, 90.45, 90.35, 90.29, 90.17

Psychological: 90, March highs

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

GBP/USD Battles with March Highs

By Fast Brokers – The Cable is battling previous March highs set during Friday’s topside breakout.  The Cable logged encouraging gains on Friday in the wake of stronger than expected U.S. retail sales data.  The improvement in retail sales gave investor more confidence in the global economic recovery and this favored the risk trade.  The Cable popped past our previous 1st tier downtrend line in the process, which could prove to be a key movement since our 1st tier ran through 2/23 highs, or the 1.5550 area.  We recognized a similar technical breakout in the EUR/USD on Friday, and it will be interesting to see whether these two currency pairs can maintain their upward momentum, though a period of profit taking would not be surprising.  Meanwhile, the Cable is distancing itself further from its psychological 1.50 level with near-term topside technical barriers wearing thin.  The data wires will heat up as the week progresses, highlighted by the FOMC meeting in Tuesday.  The UK will be relatively quiet until Wednesday’s release of the Claimant Count Change along with the BoE’s meeting minutes.  Focus could remain on the U.S. today with the release of a data set including, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, TIC Long-Term Purchases, and the Empire Index.  Investors should continue to keep an eye out for headlines concerning the parliamentary election or cautioning against UK debt levels, since these statements have rocked the Cable in the past.  Therefore, potential for another negative shock for the Cable remains regardless of the currency pair’s present upward momentum.

Technically speaking, the Cable has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with intraday and 3/12 lows.  As for the topside, the Cable faces multiple downtrend lines along with 3/15 and 2/26 highs. Our 1st-3rd downtrend lines gain importance since they run through 2/17 levels, or the 1.58 zone.   Meanwhile, the psychological 1.50 area becomes a technical cushion should it be tested.

Present Price: 1.5180

Resistances: 1.5184, 1.5195, 1.5205, 1.5215, 1.5233, 1.5236

Supports: 1.5174, 1.5165, 1.5152, 1.5143, 1.5132, 1.5125

Psychological: 1.50 and March highs

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.

EUR/USD Consolidates Following Friday’s Pop

By Fast Brokers – The EUR/USD is consolidating after logging key gains on Friday.  Although the movement wasn’t large pip-wise, the EUR/USD peaked through our 1st-3rd downtrend lines and briefly traded above 12/17 highs.  As we mentioned in our previous analysis, our medium-term downtrend line (now our 1st tier) runs through January highs, or the 1.4575 area.  Hence, Friday’s gains could signal a more lasting uptrend taking shape.  Additionally, our 2nd and 3rd tier downtrend lines run through the 1.39 zone.  Therefore, both near-term and medium-term technicals are beginning to work in favor of the EUR/USD.  The currency pair has built up a solid base over the past month, creating what could be a solid support system should things go awry.  The Cable is in the midst of similar trend setting movements, meaning the risk trade could be a confirmation away from establishing a new near-term uptrend.  However, there are some key economic events on deck, so we will have to see whether fundamentals support Friday’s technical breakout.  The U.S. will remain in focus today with the Empire Index, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and TIC Long-Term Purchases.  If today’s data tacks onto Friday’s encouraging Retail Sales data then the risk trade could receive another top-side boost.  Tomorrow the EU will release ZEW Economic Sentiment and CPI.  It will be interesting to see whether the recent uptrend in CPI continues.  If so this could benefit the Euro since investors may find it hard to rationalize additional liquidity injects from the ECB.  The Fed is on deck Tuesday, meaning volatility could really heat up.  Investors will be looking to see if there is a change in the central bank’s language regarding its loose monetary policy for the foreseeable future.

Technically speaking, the EUR/USD faces multiple downtrend lines along with 3/12 and 2/9 highs.  As for the downside, the EUR/USD has several uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with 3/12 and 3/10 lows.  Meanwhile, the psychological 1.35 area becomes a technical cushion while 1.40 serves as a key psychological barrier.

Present Price: 1.3750

Resistances: 1.3756, 1.3775, 1.3796, 1.3813, 1.3834, 1.3857

Supports:  1.3728, 1.3713, 1.3691, 1.3672, 1.3654, 1.3637

Psychological: March and February Lows, 1.35, 1.40, February highs

(click chart to enlarge)

Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.

Disclaimer: FastBrokers’ market commentary is provided for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be regardedneither as an investment advice nor as a solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any financial product. FastBrokers assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

Risk Disclosure: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and foreign exchange. Please carefully review all risk disclosure documents before opening an account as these financial instruments are not appropriate for all investors.