By Fast Brokers – The AUD/USD is drifting lower today as the EUR/USD and Cable pull back following Friday’s topside breakout. While the Aussie’s interest rate differential continues to work in the currency pair’s favor, recent employment and housing related data was disappointing, meaning the RBA could hold off on another rate hike at its next policy meeting unless fundamentals take a turn for the positive soon. With Australia quiet on the data wire this week, investors will likely hone in on upcoming U.S. numbers and the FOMC meeting on Tuesday. Should the Fed make a hawkish alteration to its monetary policy statement this could place some downward pressure on the Aussie over speculation that the Fed could tighten liquidity in the near future. However, should the Fed maintain its loose monetary policy stance for the foreseeable future, the Aussie’s upward momentum could remain intact. Meanwhile, investors will receive a U.S. data set, including the Empire Index, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and TIC long-Term Purchases.
Technically speaking, the Aussie has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions along with 3/11 lows, 3/9lows, and the psychological .90 area. As for the topside, the Aussie has multiple downtrend lines serving as technical barriers along with the psychological .92 area. Additionally, previous 2010 highs could serve as a hefty technical barrier should they be tested.
Price: .9145
Resistances: .9160, .9171, .9186, .9194, .9213, .9227
Supports: .9120, .9104, .9090, .9073, .9052
Psychological: .92, 2010 highs
(click chart to enlarge)
Market Commentary provided by Fast Brokers.
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