Gold Drops Amid Risk Aversion

Gold has tacked onto yesterday’s 1% pullback in reaction to a broad-based downturn in the risk trade.  Hence, it seems gold is following its negative correlation with the Dollar once again.  On the bright side, gold has avoided a retest of its highly psychological $1100/oz level and remains above the lower band of its trading range.  Hence, the possibility of a return of gold’s upward momentum is not out of the question as investors lock in profits over the past couple trading sessions.  Much will depend on the Dollar’s reaction to upcoming economic data releases from China over the next couple trading sessions.  Strong Chinese data could favor the risk trade and send gold higher, whereas negative data could very well have the opposite effect.  Meanwhile, it will be interesting to see of gold can stabilize above its highly psychological $1100/oz level.  Additionally, our new 1st tier uptrend line could serve as a key support since it runs through February lows, or the $1090/oz area.

Technically speaking, we’ve formed two new makeshift downtrend lines running through 3/2 and 3/3 levels to give investors an idea of present resistance.  Additionally, gold must face previous March highs and the psychological $1050/oz area to the topside.  As for the downside, gold still has multiple uptrend lines serving as technical cushions, highlighted by our 1st tier as we mentioned before.  Furthermore, gold has the psychological $1100/oz level working in its favor should it be tested.

Present Price: $1113.24/oz

Resistances: $1114.21/oz, $1116.63/oz, $1118.75/oz, $1121.05/ oz, $1123.03/oz, $1124.97/oz

Supports: $1112.11/oz, $1110.07/oz, $1107.26/oz, $1104.71/oz, $1101.73/oz, $1099.20/oz

Psychological: $1100/oz, $1150/oz, January Highs, March highs and Lows

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