Scandinavian Economies Leading Europe out of Recession?

By Greg Holden – Following last week’s employment data from the United States it appears as if the US Dollar has entered a free-fall and many other global currencies are reaping the benefits. The Scandinavian currencies have largely entered bullish trends against the greenback, but also surprisingly against the EUR.

While some analysts were concerned about a swift Swedish recovery due to the Baltic crisis, most countries in the northerly region have seen strong and steady growth. Norway’s economy has benefited largely from climbing Crude Oil prices and Denmark’s debate about entry into the EU’s legal regulations has helped its economy find direction.

The NOK, SEK and DKK have all climbed to 2-week highs versus the USD, as well as a near-2-week high against the EUR. Following Norway’s decision to hike interest rates recently, the region appears to be on the receiving end of recent risk appetite. If this continues, Scandinavia may find itself leading the broader region out of this economic downturn.

Technical Analysis

– The chart below is the 2-hour EUR/SEK chart by ForexYard.

– The indicators used are the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic (slow).

– Point 1: The RSI shows that this pair is currently over-sold and experiencing upward pressure.

– Point 2: The Stochastic (slow) shows a deep bullish cross followed by an upward cascading price movement. This suggests that there is momentum behind the current upward correction.

Forex Market Analysis provided by Forex Yard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

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