Data-driven investors will get plenty of opportunities to assess the state of the global economy this week, with major indicators due out over the coming days.
Here are some of the key events in this week’s economic calendar, along with market expectations for each data release:
Tuesday, 14 July
China’s June external trade data is set to build on the recovery seen over prior months, with exports set to post a 3.5 percent year-on-year advance in Yuan terms.
Later in the day, the Eurozone’s May industrial production data is expected to post a 15 percent growth compared to the month prior, while the UK unveils its monthly GDP for May, with markets forecasting a five percent print.
Wednesday, 15 July
The Bank of Japan will release its GDP and inflation forecasts for the world’s third largest economy, whereby the central bank will probably have to lower its growth outlook through its 2021 fiscal year, although the rise in Oil should translate into inflationary pressures.
Thursday, 16 July
China’s 2Q GDP is likely to show a steep recovery, pointing the way forward for other major economies, with the forecasted 2.2 percent growth marking a sharp contrast to the 6.8 percent contraction in the three months prior. June’s retail sales is slated to return to growth for the first time in 2020, while industrial production posts a third consecutive month of on-year expansion.
The US weekly jobless claims should point to a plateauing recovery in the US jobs market, while June’s retail sales in the world’s largest economy should signal a continued improvement from May’s double-digit expansion.
The European Central Bank is expected to leave its policy settings unchanged on Thursday, having already rolled out EUR1.35 trillion in its pandemic purchase program. Still, investors will be eager to get the ECB’s latest assessment on the EU economy and its willingness to aid its still-fragile recovery.
Although some segments of the markets have been wilfully ignoring such data indicators and events in recent months, the prudent investor would do well to pay heed to the hard numbers, as opposed to relying on mere hope in forming their market outlooks. Should any of these official economic data shift the expected timeline or dampen expectations over the world’s post-pandemic response, that could prompt investors to take some risk off the table. Such a scenario would ensure that safe haven assets, such as Gold, US Treasuries, and the Japanese Yen, remain well bid.
Investors won’t just have their hands full with the expected data deluge this week, as they must also remain vigilant over the latest developments surrounding the global pandemic. After all, there has been no shortage of negative headlines, with the US state of Florida having posted 15,300 new infections in a single day, which is a record-setting figure.
Amid the conflicting narratives, considering the persistent nature of the pandemic on one hand, and the unprecedented support from policymakers worldwide on the other, market participants must ensure that they can stomach such risks until the storm clouds meaningfully disperse.
Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
The DAX30 bulls had (and will have) to deal with some serious headwinds, beginning early last Friday, for the new week of trading.
The German index seriously attacked and dropped below the short-term important support level of around 12,470/500 points.
Above that level, another stint up to 12,750 and towards the June highs around 12,900 points was once possible, but this outlook has now darkened.
With rising fears around new Corona infections in the US, especially in Texas and Florida which together are responsible for over 20% of the annual US GDP, and that another lockdown of the US economy could be imminent, placing the advantage more and more with the bears.
And with the very extended mode in the Nasdaq100, mainly driven by the “Big 5” of Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Facebook, and Google, following a positive Thursday while 392 stocks in the SP500 declined, the market is screaming for a correction which would potentially drive Equities as a whole significantly lower, and the DAX30 could be headed for a weak start into the week.
What’s certainly interesting is that the German index finds a solid support around 12,370/400 points.
If we break lower here and close below that level, the path for another stint below 12,000 points in the days to come could be levelled:
Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Hourly chart (between June 23, 2020, to July 10, 2020). Accessed: July 10, 2020, at 10:00pm GMT
Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Daily chart (between March 27, 2019, to July 10, 2020). Accessed: July 10, 2020, at 10:00pm GMT – Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, or future performance.
In 2015, the value of the DAX30 CFD increased by 9.56%, in 2016, it increased by 6.87%, in 2017, it increased by 12.51%, in 2018, it fell by 18.26%, in 2019, it increased by 26.44% meaning that after five years, it was up by 34.2%.
Check out Admiral Markets’ most competitive conditions on the DAX30 CFD and start trading on the DAX30 CFD with a low 0.8 point spread offering during the main Xetra trading hours!
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By Hussein Sayed, Chief Market Strategist (Gulf & MENA), ForexTime
Asian and European equities along with US futures rose ahead of what is expected to be a busy week on all fronts. While market watchers will keep an eye on the global rise of COVID-19 cases, central banks in Europe, Japan and Canada will provide some insight into whether cheap liquidity will continue to flow over the foreseeable future. China’s GDP is due to be released on Thursday and is likely to mark a steep recovery from the 6.8% contraction in the first quarter, and EU leaders gather on Friday to determine the fate of an ambitious recovery fund. There will also be several pieces of US data that will indicate whether the rebound in economic recovery remains in place. However, it is the earnings season that is likely to determine if stocks continue to move higher from current levels.
According to Factset, the S&P 500 is expected to report a decline of 44.6% for the second quarter. Assuming the aggregate earnings beat forecasts by 5%, the index will still end with a 39.6% fall in profits. Even the most optimistic scenario will show the largest year-on-year decline in earnings since the Great Financial Crisis. If investors were taking the loss in Q2 earnings and revenues into consideration, it follows that stocks should not be trading at current levels. In fact, investors are looking post-Q2 with the hope that lost revenue will be recovered in the second half of this year and into 2021. That is the V-shaped recovery every stock market bull is betting on.
What CEO’s say on earnings calls will be of greater influence than what the numbers say. In the last quarter, only 10% of S&P 500 companies issued EPS guidance compared to an average of 20%. Given that we are already more than six months into this pandemic, corporate leaders should have more clarity on how their businesses will operate over the second half of the year. To keep the bull market alive, it requires an optimistic tone reflecting the V-shaped recovery that confident investors are looking for. That is especially the case for Tech stocks that have led the surge in equities. If investors sense the V-shaped recovery in earnings is misplaced, expect companies with extreme forward P/E ratios and those with weak balance sheets to be punished the most.
Monetary policy, the key driver to market performance over the past several months, will gradually lose influence to the earnings outlook. After all, prolonged low-interest rates are already baked into asset prices and that is evident in most valuation metrics you look into. Meanwhile, the chances of Joe Biden winning the upcoming US election and reversing some of Trump’s tax reforms is the other risk which does not seem to be priced into markets yet. Even a limited reversal in the 2018 corporate tax cuts will have an impact on investor sentiment, given the levels where stocks are currently standing.
Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
On Monday, July 13th, Brent is falling and trading at $42.93. Basically, if one remembers the oil price this spring, the current value is quite stable. However, market players can’t be sure in anything, neither the oil price surge amid the increasing demand, nor the lack of demand and, as a result, predictable oil sales.
The latest data from Baker Hughes showed that the number of oil rigs in the United States fell again and on July 10th, was equal to 181 units. And now just feel the difference – at the same period of time last year, the reading was 784 units. The total rig count in the country is 258 units.
Early in the week, financial markets are anticipated to be pretty quiet but getting more and more dynamic as the trading week unfolds. For example, market players will closely follow the US comments relating to a possible resumption of trade talks with China because any negative news here may quickly become a reason for oil investors to sell the “black gold”.
In the H4 chart, after finishing the correction at 41.41, Brent is forming a new ascending impulse towards 43.50. After reaching this level, the instrument may start another correction. However, if the price breaks 43.50 to the upside, the pair may continue trading upwards with the short-term target at 45.55. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by MACD Oscillator: its signal line is moving close to 0. Later, the line is expected to rebound from 0 and resume moving upwards.
As we can see in the H1 chart, Brent is consolidating around 43.00. Today, the pair may fall to expand the range down to 42.42 and complete the correction. After that, the instrument may start a new growth to reach 43.50. From the technical point of view, this idea is confirmed by Stochastic Oscillator: its signal line has broken 80; right now, it is moving near 50 and may continue falling to reach 20, thus implying a possible decline towards 42.42 on the price chart. Later, when the indicator resumes growing towards 80, the price chart may resume trading upwards as well and reach 43.50.
Disclaimer
Any predictions contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.
This week – July 13 through July 18 – central banks from 7 countries or jurisdictions are scheduled to decide on monetary policy: Poland, Japan, Canada Chile, South Korea, Indonesia and the euro area.
Following table includes the name of the country, the date of the next policy decision, the current policy rate, the result of the last policy decision, the change in the policy rate year to date, and the rate one year ago.
The table is updated when the latest decisions are announced and can always accessed by clicking on This Week.
Global markets are rising currently after a mixed trading last Friday. Investors’ risk appetite appears resilient as second quarter earnings season reporting starts today.
Forex news
Currency Pair
Change
EUR USD
-0.17%
GBP USD
+2.56%
USD JPY
+0.11%
The Dollar weakening is persisting currently. The live dollar index data show the ICE US Dollar index, a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, slipped 0.1% Friday as producer prices index declined 0.2% over month in June when an increase was expected. Both GBP/USD and EUR/USD reversed their sliding Friday as industrial production recovery accelerated both in France and Italy in June. Both pairs are up currently. USD/JPY and AUD/USD continued retreating on Friday with both pairs lower currently.
Stock Market news
Indices
Change
Dow Jones Index
+0.07%
GB 100 Index
+0.25%
Nikkei Index
+2.22%
Hang Seng Index
+0.25%
US equity markets are sharply higher today ahead of second quarter earnings reports. Pepsico will be the first SP500 large capital company slated to report earnings today with analysts expecting the company to report falling revenues due to negative impact of coronavirus outbreak on social events. The three main US stock indexes recorded back to back weekly gains ranging from 1% to 4% last week. European stock indexes are extending gains currently after ending higher on Friday with data showing industrial production recovery accelerated both in France and Italy in June. Asian indexes are all rising today led by Nikkei .
Commodity Market news
Commodities
Change
Brent Crude Oil
-0.19%
WTI Crude
-1.02%
Brent is extending losses today as trader anticipate the relaunch of the Messla oil field and Sarir refinery in Libya that didn’t operate since January due to civil unrest in the country. Oil prices ended lower last session despite the upgrade of the global crude demand to 92.1 million barrels per day by IEA, up 400,000 barrels a day from its outlook last month. The US oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures are lower currently. September Brent crude lost 2.1% to $43.24 a barrel on Friday.
Gold Market News
Metals
Change
Gold
+0.28%
Gold prices are extending losses today. Spot gold slipped 0. 1% to $1801.90 an ounce on Friday.
Note: This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
No guest interviews this week, as we’re back to an all-hands-on-deck situation servicing all our Money Metals customers. A new demand spike in recent days harkens back to the pandemonium we saw in the precious metals markets back in March. So, let’s get right into today’s market wrap, because there is plenty to talk about…
Gold and silver markets advanced this week to hit new milestones.
Gold traded up to a 9-year high of nearly $1,825 an ounce on Wednesday before giving back a few dollars on Thursday. As of this Friday recording, the monetary metal comes in at $1,813 – good for a weekly gain of 1.7%.
Turning to silver, prices are up 3.7% this week to trade at $18.86 per ounce. The silver market traded up to the $19 level on Wednesday and moved above it during the day on Thursday to reach a slight new high for the year. But it fell back below that level at the close.
We’ve talked about $19 before as a major resistance line. Silver has now made three attempts this year going back to February to bust through it. When the market finally does post a strong close above $19 an ounce, we suspect it will be followed through with a sharp breakout rally.
Far from being mired in the summer doldrums, metals markets appear to be on their way to making this summer one for investors to celebrate. $20+ silver and new record highs for gold are both well within reach.
Even as the big tech stocks that make up the Nasdaq are posting rip-roaring gains, the best performing sector of 2020 has actually been the gold miners. The HUI gold mining stock index is up 30% year to date – and up over 90% since bottoming in March.
Investors who bought just about any stock market sector near the climax of the panic selling have since been able to make big gains. But valuations are now becoming stretched while the earnings picture for most companies remains shaky.
Perhaps equities will be able to ride the rising tide of liquidity provided by the Federal Reserve to still higher heights. But Michael Howell, the CEO of Crossborder Capital, urged CNBC International viewers to consider diversifying into gold.
Michael Howell: The worry is that we’re inflating a bubble. And bubble’s burst, as we know, but we still have, may have, several months of gains before that happens. But what we would urge investors to do is to start to diversify on the one asset that is bound to go up a lot more, which is gold. And gold goes up when two things happen. Number one, the Federal Reserve eases aggressively, and number two, the People’s Bank of China starts to ease. And that’s what we’re seeing. The concurrence of these two big central banks pumping in money is magic news for the gold price.
Unfortunately, the vast majority of investors have no exposure to precious metals at all.
Surprising as it may seem to those of us who view owning some gold and silver outside of the financial system as common sense, lots of investors don’t yet understand the first thing about precious metals. They don’t know where to buy them, or what to do with them, or what the point of owning them even is.
They understand stocks, bonds, and bank accounts – perhaps even cryptocurrencies. But for some reason they can’t grasp the least complicated and most enduring way to hold wealth.
It could be our lousy educational system, our biased financial media, our corrupt monetary system, or all three that are leaving much of the public dangerously ignorant about sound money.
Perhaps, too, the bullion industry needs to do a better job of communicating the benefits and features of gold and silver ownership and combat the myth of the “barbarous relic.” Bullion isn’t just for people who are nostalgic for the past. It also offers a host of benefits for these modern-but-turbulent times.
Physical precious metals offer far more versatility than conventional paper assets in terms of what you can do with them. About all you can do with a stock or bond is sell it for cash, donate it, or in some cases borrow against it.
You can do ALL those things with bullion – and much more. Since precious metals exist outside of the financial system, they can serve many non-financial purposes. Bullion coins and rounds can also be appreciated for their aesthetic qualities, which confer a pride in ownership and add a special sentimental value when given as gifts.
Since gold and silver have near-universally recognized value, they can be used as money around the world in transactions with any willing party.
Gold and silver can also be used to achieve conventional financial goals such as estate planning and tax savings. Precious metals IRAs are a great way to shield gains from taxation.
Precious metals can be used as collateral to obtain loans with favorable terms. Money Metals Exchange is proud to play a leading role in helping people tap the hidden utility of gold and silver. And Money Metals Capital Group can now extend cash loans on your gold, silver, platinum, or palladium bullion.
If you own at least $35,000 of precious metals and store them in the Class 3 vaulting facility operated by Money Metals Depository, you are likely eligible for a loan of $25,000 or more.
Borrowing against your precious metals assets can be a far more efficient way of accessing their buying power as compared to selling and facing transaction costs along with potential tax consequences.
However, this strategy isn’t suitable for everyone.
The main conditions are that you have an acceptable credit rating, use loan proceeds for business or investment purposes rather than for personal needs, and don’t use loan proceeds to purchase additional precious metals for at least 30 days.
And the Money Metals loan program isn’t currently available for residents of roughly 5 states.
For more information on precious metals-backed loans or to begin an application, go to moneymetals.com/gold-loan or give us a call at 1-800-800-1865.
Well that will do it for this week, thanks for listening. Be sure to check back next Friday for our next Weekly Market Wrap Podcast. Until then, this have been Mike Gleason with Money Metals Exchange, thanks for listening and have a great weekend everybody.
The Money Metals News Service provides market news and crisp commentary for investors following the precious metals markets.
Ron Struthers of the Struthers Resource Stock Report spotlights Golden Lake Exploration and its flagship, Jewel Ridge.
I wanted to see a solid breakout for gold above $1,800/ounce, but we have traded several days at new highs so I am convinced another breakout is underway. This is exactly like the trading action we had in January, where we eventually went through $1,600 up to $1,700. We are essentially trading at the 2011 highs. My next target is $2,000; that will continue the uptrend channel (ignores the March anomaly).
As I mentioned last month, to get maximum benefit from this new bull market, my plan is to buy a basket of quality juniors in good jurisdictions like Mexico, Canada, Australia and Nevada. And Nevada is a state that is a gold country in its own right. Consider this about Nevada:
Gold is the state’s top overseas export by value, accounting for $4.9 billion, or 44%, of the state’s $11 billion of exports in 2018. A year earlier, gold accounted for more than half the total. The top destinations are Switzerland and India, where Nevada-mined gold is refined.
The state produces more than 80% of the gold mined annually in the United States. If it were a separate country, Nevada would be the world’s fifth-largest producer, behind China, Australia, Russia and Canada.
Over the past decade, gold production has averaged about 5.5 million ounces/year. The value of that production in 2018 was just over $7 billion, representing 84% of all mining production in the state.
I have come across another hidden gem in Nevada. This is a new company with a low number of shares out, top-notch management and a Nevada property with all kinds of gold but only drilled to shallow depths.
South Eureka zone has not had much drilling since 1980s, with 50 shallow holes (average depth: 47.5 meters)
Historic holes returned an average thickness of 17.1 meters (17.1m) assaying 1.16 g/t gold
Management (sourced from the company website)
Michael B. England, CEO and president, is an astute team builder and has been involved in the public markets since 1983. Since 1995, Mr. England has been directly involved with public companies in various roles, including investor relations, directorships and senior officer positions. To date, Mr. England has been directly responsible for raising in excess of $60 million for mineral exploration and acquisitions.
Vic Bradley, chairman, has more than 50 years’ experience in the mining industry, including more than 15 years with Cominco Ltd. and McIntyre Mines Ltd. in a wide variety of senior financial positions from Controller to COO. Over the past 30 years Vic has founded, financed and operated several mining and advanced-stage exploration and development companies, including the original Yamana Gold Inc., Aura Minerals Inc. and Nevoro Inc. (sold to Starfield Resources). Vic founded the original Yamana in early 1994, and served as president and CEO and then chairman of the board and lead director until 2008. He served as chairman of Osisko Mining Corp. from November 2006 up to its sale for $4.1 billion to Agnico Eagle and Yamana in June 2014. He served as a director of Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. (spun out of the Osisko Mining sale) from June 2014 to May 2018 and as chairman of Nevada Copper Corp. from February 2012 to February 2017. He now serves as chairman of Osisko Bermuda Ltd., Osisko Gold Royalties’ offshore subsidiary that controls all of its assets outside of North America.
Robert Weicker, chief geologist, is an associate of Ross Beatty and has extensive mining experience, including a five-year stint at the famous Hemlo mine and including the role of chief geologist at the Williams Mine. Bob also has extensive exploration experience in the Hemlo, Thunder Bay area, and Abitibi greenstone belts, for gold and VMS (volcanogenic massive sulfide) deposits. In the U.S., Bob was with Equinox Resources Ltd. (taken over by Hecla Mining Co.) and involved with the exploration, permitting and underground development of the Rosebud gold deposit in Nevada, which was successful mined by Hecla and Newmont.
Peter Mah, director, is a mining engineer with 30 years of global mining industry experience. He is currently the COO of McEwen Mining Inc. Mr. Mah’s past positions include president of Avanti Kitsault Mines Ltd., chief operating officer (COO) of Alloycorp Mining Inc., COO and executive vice president (VP) of Luna Gold Corp., and group executive, Newmont Mining Corp. At Newmont, he led the early-stage exploration study teams defining over 15 million ounces (15 Moz) of gold resources for development in Canada, Nevada, Ghana and Peru. Most notable were the Leeville underground mine expansion in Nevada and the new Subika underground mine in Ghana.
Giulio Bonifacio, director, has over 30 years of experience in senior executive roles in the mining industry, many associated with Ian Telfor. Mr. Bonifacio is the founder and former director, president & CEO of Nevada Copper Corp., since its inception in 2005 until his retirement in February 2018. Among his many accomplishments, Mr. Bonifacio has raised directly over $700 million through equity and project debt financings for projects of merit as well as been involved in corporate transactions aggregating in excess of a billion dollars. Mr. Bonifacio has held previous senior executive roles with Getty Resources Ltd., TOTAL Energold Corp. (an energy and gold producer) as well as with Vengold Inc. (a gold producer) prior to founding Nevada Copper in 2005. Mr. Bonifacio is currently chairman and director of CopperBank Resources; CEO and director of Kerr Mines and independent director of Candente Copper Corp.
Richard Reid, technical advisor, is a senior geologist with over 39 years in the mining business, working for major mining companies, with a focus throughout Nevada. His roles with Newmont Mining Corp., now Newmont Goldcorp Corp., the largest producer of gold in the world, included Nevada District exploration manager, exploration business development manager and chief geologist for North America.
ProjectsJewel Ridge, Nevada
Jewel Ridge is located on the south end of Nevada’s prolific Battle MountainEureka trend, strategically along strike and contiguous to the former Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX:TSX; GOLD:NYSE) two-million-gold-ounce Archimedes/Ruby Hill mine to the north and Timberline Resources Corp.’s (TLR:NYSE.MKT) advanced-stage Lookout Mountain project to the south. The property claims cover approximately 728 hectares (1,800 acres). There is year-around road access to the property and it is 3.2 kilometers (3.2 km) south of Eureka.
The Jewel Ridge property contains several historic small gold mines that align along a north-south-trending stratigraphic contact of lower Paleozoic sedimentary rocks, as well as several other gold-mineralized zones with a variety of structural and lithological controls.
Historical drilling
The Jewel Ridge Project has been drilled by General Mineral Development LLC, Homestake Mining Co., Tenneco Minerals, Norse-Windfall Ventures, Rainbow Resources and Greencastle Resources (VGN:TSX.V). A total of 89,484 feet (89,484 ft) in 315 reverse circulation or rotary drill holes have been completed at Jewel Ridge. Most of the drilling was done in the 1980s and drill hole locations are approximate, but it is excellent information to guide exploration.
The most recent drilling included Greencastle, which completed three drilling campaigns after acquiring the property. In 2004 the drilling program totaled 11,210 feet in 22 reverse circulation holes. The best intercept was in HRC-11, 135 ft @ 2.1 g/t Au beginning at 310 ft depth, in bleached, decalcified Hamburg dolomite. It is encouraging that this was one of the few deeper holes and had very good results.
In 20062007 the drilling program totaled 8,860 feet in 18 reverse circulation holes, testing the Magnet Ridge, North Jewel Ridge, Silica Ridge and Hamburg-Croesus targets. The best intercept is 45 ft @ 0.950 g/t Au in hole GR-07-15. Intercepts in 2012 by Rainbow Resources (lessee) in its drilling program were DH12-5, with 35 ft @0.91 g/t Au; DH12-6 with 15 ft @1.95 g/t Au; and DH12-4 with 5 ft @1.67 g/t Au.
The South Eureka is the first priority drill target. It has 82 historic drill holes and 50 hit mineralization. The last drilling on this target was in the late 1980s and has not been drilled/explored since because tenure issues with the claims, which was resolved in 2012 with the purchase of 13 patented claims. This will be the first time in decades that this priority target will see modern exploration techniques and deeper drilling.
Financials
Last financials, as of Feb. 29, 2020, show $291,936 cash and no debt. Since then GLM closed a non-brokered private placement. The company issued 8,166,667 common share units at a price of $0.15 per unit for aggregate gross proceeds of $1,225,000. The shares and warrants comprising the units are subject to a four-month hold period expiring Oct. 10, 2020.
Conclusion
The average gold grade at the South Eureka target in 50 historic drill holes is 1.16 g/t Au. This is a very good grade for an oxide, heap-leach, open pit mine in Nevada, and indications are this gold is near surface. For example, Atlantic Gold was among the lowest cost producers in the world with their open pit Moose River mine in Nova Scotia. It was bought out by an Australian company, St Barbara Ltd.
Based on this comparison chart of 2018 costs, it highlights Atlantic Gold’s very low costs. As of March 25, 2019, the Atlantic Gold operation had a combined estimated 1.9 million ounces of gold in reserves at a grade of 1.12 grams per tonne. For full details, refer to the compliance documents at stbarbara.com.au/exploration/.
A recent new and low-grade gold mine that is providing strong cash flow is Victoria Gold Corp.’s (VGCX:TSX; VITFF:OTCMKTS) Eagle mine in the Yukon, grading 0.65 g/t Proven and Probable reserves. They just declared commercial production on July 1, and the mine is projected to have AISC of US$774 per ounce gold. Costs are higher in the Yukon compared to Nevada.
An example of a low-cost, high-margin Nevada producer is the Marigold Mine. Owned by SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM:NASDAQ; SSRM:TSX), Marigold stands out for its ultra-low grades of 0.46 g/t. In production since 1989, Marigold is a large run-of-mine operation. After blasting the ore, it doesn’t need to be crushed or ground and can go directly onto the leach pad, which significantly reduces costs.
The famous deposits in Nevada contain microscopic gold but it is found in almost every rock. The gold is low grade (under one gram per tonne) but plentiful. Between 1835 and 2008 a whopping 152 million ounces were pulled from the Carlin Trend and other gold trends in Nevada, including Cortez and Walker Lane, mostly through open-pit mining.
At GLM’s Jewel Ridge, the average historic grades would make for a robust mine if a large enough quantity of gold can be proven. This is historic data so we have to assume some risk with these numbers, but there is room for a margin of error. Deeper drilling might find higher grades as well; only time will tell. The key point is that this data represents $millions in exploration expenditures and provides a headstart on GLM’s exploration, as well as de-risking the project. The gold is there. GLM only needs to find enough to make a deposit.
On June 26 Golden Lake reported that its geological team has confirmed previous reported results on the Radio Tower target (source: press release May 14, 2020) and also has sampled a new mineralized zone designated as the A&E target (historic results up to 29.49 grams per tonne gold, 333.0 g/t silver):
Radio Tower target: Sampling by company personnel of dumps from adits, shafts, old trenches and outcrop have returned a median (based on gold values) of seven samples of 1.93 grams gold per tonne Au (g/t), 44.8 g/t silver (Ag), and 0.04% copper, 0.72% lead (Pb) and 1.18% zinc (Zn).
A & E target: Based on a compilation of the recently acquired historic third-party rock-chip database and geological reconnaissance by company personnel, another prospective target has been identified. Highlights include values up to 29.49 g/t Au, 333.0 g/t Ag, 1.35% Cu, 4.00% Pb and 9.53% Zn. The median (based on gold values) of nine samples on the two patented claims is 2.30 g/t Au, 47.4 g/t Ag, 0.18% Cu, 0.20% Pb and 0.62% Zn.
The A & E target has no known drill holes, but the area has been recently visited by company personnel to determine the logistics of accessing the area during the company’s forthcoming RC (reverse circulation) drill program, planned for July 2020. Samples comprise grab rock samples from dumps of old mine workings and rock outcrop exposures. Grab rock samples are not representative of the grade of mineralization of an occurrence, but are useful in determining prospectivity, and geological features.
As mentioned in the June 26 press release, drilling is expected to start this month, so I would suggest getting position as soon as possible.
You can see on the chart that the stock has been trading less than a year and volume just started picking up in April. The stock has recovered from the March panic selloff, but has yet to break resistance around $0.19. It looks like it was going to but the attempt failed. This pullback provides a good entry price closer to the bottom of the uptrend channel.
Ron Struthers founded Struthers’ Resource Stock Report 23 years ago. The report covers senior and junior companies with ample trading liquidity. He started his Millennium Index of dividend stocks in 2003 – $1,000 invested then was worth over $4,000 end of 2014 and the index returned 26.8% in 2016. He retired from IBM after 30 years in customer service, systems and business analyst, also developing his own charting software. He has expertise in junior start-ups and was a co-founder of Paramount Gold and Silver.
Disclosure: 1) Ron Struthers: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Golden Lake Exploration. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company currently has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: Golden Lake Exploration is a paid advertiser at playstocks.net. Additional disclosures below. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector. 2) The following companies mentioned in this article are sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. 3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy. 4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports. 5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.
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GoldMining’s new entity and its potential benefits are outlined in a ROTH Capital Partners report.
In a June 24 research note, ROTH Capital Partners analyst Jake Sekelsky reported that GoldMining Inc. (GOLD:TSX; GLDLF:OTCQX) noted Gold Royalty Co., a gold royalty entity that “represents an opportunity for long-term value creation.”
“We are supportive of management’s proactive approach to unlocking value from its portfolio of gold assets and expect Gold Royalty Co. to provide GoldMining shareholders with optionality going forward,” Sekelsky added.
Sekelsky described the new vehicle. It will hold 14 newly created royalties that will range from 0.52% on the same number of GoldMining’s projects. Two of the royalties will be 2%, 11 will be 1% and one will be 0.5%. With all of the royalties, Gold Royalty has exposure to 14.3 million Measured and Indicated ounces and 16.6 million Inferred ounces of gold equivalent.
The analyst presented two ways in which Gold Royalty could offer GoldMining shareholders value. One is through its valuation because royalty companies tend to trade at a premium to explorers and developers, GoldMining for instance. Thus, Gold Royalty could “command a premium to the net asset value multiple received for GoldMining’s existing asset base,” wrote Sekelsky. He noted that ROTH assigned a value of $10 million to Gold Royalty.
The second way is through future exploration on the 139,000 hectares of land that GoldMining holds in the Americas and that the 14 royalties will cover.
ROTH has a Buy rating and a CA$5.75 per share price target on GoldMining, the current share price of which is now about CA$2.33.
“In our view, GoldMining is well-funded to execute on its stated objectives for 2020 and believe the company should continue to provide investors with leverage to rising gold prices,” Sekelsky concluded.
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Disclosures from ROTH Capital Partners, GoldMining Inc, Company Note, June 24, 2020
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The Israel-based firm recently raised $3.4 million in capital, which Kolbert wrote is sufficient to get it through its upcoming catalysts. He expects additional raises in the future, however and added that “investors need to balance the raises against scientific progress.”
He reported on what is new with Can-Fite’s primary drug candidates, Namodenoson and Piclidenoson.
“Both hold great promise as alternative therapies with what appears to be a more favorable side effects profile,” commented Kolbert.
Additional Phase 2 data are available for Namodenoson in liver cancer, and they “shine,” Kolbert noted. Results showed that overall liver fat volume decreased with a high significance in patients who received Namodenoson versus those who received a placebo.
Also statistically significant was the percentage of fat volume decrease. Among the cohort that was treated with Namodenoson 12.5 milligrams (12.5 mg), the decline was 3.68%, and among the group that got 25 mg of Namodenoson, it was 4.33%. These compare to the 2.61% decrease among the placebo patients.
Next for Namodenoson is a Phase 3 pivotal trial, the design for which the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved. Currently, the European Medicines Agency is reviewing the study protocol and registration plan.
Regarding Piclidenoson, enrollment now is about half complete for both of the Phase 3 pivotal trials, the ACROBAT study in moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis and the COMFORT study in psoriasis.
Kolbert concluded, “Piclidenoson results in not one but two studies (ACROBAT and COMFORT) are coming, and there is even data in COVID. As a result, we would hold on, and let’s get to the data.”
Dawson James has a Buy rating and a $7 per share target price on Can-Fite BioPharma, which is now trading at about $1.83 per share.
Disclosure: 1) Doresa Banning compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. 2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. 3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. 4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports. 5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.
Disclosures for Dawson James Securities, Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd., July 6, 2020
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