By CentralBankNews.info
Serbia’s central bank cut its policy rate by a further 50 basis points to 5.00 percent and the reserve requirement ratio on foreign exchange liabilities by a total of 60 basis points over the next six maintenance periods to support the country’s “incipient economic recovery” in light of subdued inflationary pressures.
The National Bank of Serbia (NBS), which has now cut its rate by 300 basis points this year, added that the decision was taking against the backdrop that the European Central Bank (ECB) recently revised downward its growth projections and the “possibility that the quantitative easing programme will be extended.”
At a time of “increased certainty that the Fed will start raising its policy rate,” the NBS said the ECB’s asset purchases were having a positive impact on liquidity in global financial markets and this had lessened the risks associated with capital flows toward emerging markets.
Serbia’s ability to attract global capital has risen due to fiscal consolidation, improved growth prospects, reduced external imbalances and the expectation of another passive assessment by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the central bank said.
Serbia’s inflation rate eased to 1.0 percent in July from 1.9 percent in June, well below the central bank’s target range of 2.5 to 5.5 percent, but NBS said inflation expectations remain anchored within its target and the low inflationary pressures reflect low commodity prices, low inflation abroad, the relatively stable exchange rate of the dinar and the impact of fiscal consolidation.
Due to the waning impact of the fall in agricultural prices, inflation is expected to revolve around the lower bound of the inflation target in the coming period before possibly entering the target range late this year and then trend closer to the 4.0 percent central target from mid-2016.
The NBS also cut the foreign exchange reserve requirement ratio by one percentage point in each of the next six maintenance periods. This means that as of Feb. 18, 2016 the ratio on foreign exchange sources with maturities of up to two years will be 20 percent compared with the current 26 percent while the ratio on longer maturities will be 13 percent, down from 19 percent.
With the reserve ratio on dinar-denominated liabilities unchanged, the NBS said it continues to encourage the use of dinar as a source of funding but expects bank to step up their lending activity by lowering the rates on loans approved to clients. This move on the FX ratio also implies further convergence toward the ratios used in neighboring countries and the euro area.
The dinar reserve ratio is 5.0 percent on maturities of up to two years and zero on sources of longer maturities.
The National Bank of Serbia issued the following statement:
“The NBS Executive Board decided in its meeting today to cut the key policy rate by half a percentage point, to 5.0 percent.