CATTLE Analysis: Lower beef supply bullish for live cattle price

June 25, 2020

By IFCMarkets

Lower beef supply bullish for live cattle price

US frozen beef supplies suffered a steep drop last month according to the US Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) monthly report released a couple of days ago. The total amount of beef in freezers was recorded at 415.221 million pounds, down 64.235 million, or 13.4%, from 479.456 million the previous month. Lower supply is bullish for the live cattle price. However, US cattle ranchers experience a massive backlog even as many slaughterhouses come back online with meat production recovering after a drop because of shutdowns of slaughterhouses and processing plants due to coronavirus outbreak. Thus, processors killed an estimated 119,000 cattle last Friday, up from 115,000 cattle a week earlier. Increasing production is a downside risk for the live cattle price.

IndicatorVALUESignal
RSINeutral
MACDNeutral
Donchian ChannelNeutral
MA(200)Sell
FractalsBuy
Parabolic SARBuy

 

Summary of technical analysis

OrderBuy
Buy stopAbove 98.78
Stop lossBelow 94.06

Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets