ORANGE Analysis: Lower crop forecast bullish for orange price

May 14, 2020

By IFCMarkets

Lower crop forecast bullish for orange price

Orange juice is trading near a fourteen-month high after a surge following coronavirus outbreak. Demand for orange juice increased as many consumers consider its nutrients and high vitamin C content boost human immune system. And recent Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service ( NASS ) May crop forecast projects a decrease in oranges and grapefruit production. The USDA predicted Florida Orange production at 69.7 million boxes, down 1 percent from the April forecast. According to NASS, this will be 3 percent less than last season’s revised final production if realized. Lower supply estimates are bullish orange price. On the other hand, a reversal to old consumption habits as coronavirus infection concerns subside is a downside risk for orange price.

IndicatorVALUESignal
RSINeutral
MACDNeutral
Donchian ChannelNeutral
MA(200)Buy
FractalsBuy
Parabolic SARBuy

 

Summary of technical analysis

OrderBuy
Buy stopAbove 119.95
Stop lossBelow 110.21

Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets