AU200 Stock Index: Technical Analysis – Rising unemployment bearish for AU200

January 19, 2018

By IFCMarkets

Rising unemployment bearish for AU200

Australia’s unemployment rose in December. Will the AU200 stock index continue decliining?

Australia’s unemployment rate ticked up to 5.5% in December from 5.4% in previous month when no change was expected. While the job growth was stronger than expected higher unemployment is bearish for Australia’s stock market index. On the positive note China’s economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, and new home loans in Australia rose in November after decline in October and new car sales rose in December, adding to upside risk for AU 200.

AU200

On the daily timeframe AU200: D1 is correcting after hitting ten-year high in the beginning of January. The price has fallen below the support line.

We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price closes below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 5988.19, confirmed also by the fractal low. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the upper Donchian bound at 6159.30. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (6159.30) without reaching the order (5988.19), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.


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Technical Analysis Summary

PositionBuy
Sell stopBelow 6159.30
Stop lossAbove 5988.19

Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets