Daily Forex Market Preview, 22/11/2017
The U.S. dollar was seen trading mixed as the dollar weakened against the yen and the price action against the euro was subdued. On the economic front, data was also limited. The Fed Chair, Janet Yellen spoke yesterday where she said that the central bank was reasonably close towards achieving its dual mandate. Yellen said that interest rates in the U.S. will start to rise gradually. However, her comments did not move the markets much.
Looking ahead, the U.S. durable goods orders data will be coming out today. Economists polled expect to see core durable goods orders rise 0.4% on the month, slower than 0.7% increase seen the month before. Headline durable goods orders are also expected to rise just 0.4% on the month after rising 2.0% previously.
The FOMC meeting minutes will be the main highlight of the day. However, the Fed’s minutes are unlikely to show any surprises. Later in the day, New Zealand’s retail sales data will be released.
EURUSD intra-day analysis
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EURUSD (1.1740): The EURUSD closed with a spinning bottom candlestick pattern yesterday. This comes just a few pips above the support level at 1.1700. Price action remains biased to the upside, despite the declines in the past few days. In the near term, we can expect EURUSD to touch down to the support level at 1.1700. This will potentially see the common currency attempting to bounce off this level. On the upside, the previous resistance formed at 1.1843 – 1.1822 is likely to be tested once again. A breakout from this resistance or support level will determine the next leg of direction in the EURUSD.
USDJPY intra-day analysis
USDJPY (112.17): The USDJPY was seen giving up the gains following the minor bounce on Monday. Price action is likely to retest the previous lows which was formed near the support level of 112.04 – 111.74 region. A rebound off this support level will see some upside in USDJPY but the currency pair remains flat. Resistance level at 113.00 remains the main obstacle to the upside which is unlikely to be breached. In the short term, USDJPY could be seen trading flat but the bias to the downside remains strong. A break out below 112.04 – 111.74 could signal further declines down to the 110.74 level of support.
XAUUSD intra-day analysis
XAUUSD (1280.61): Gold prices continue to consolidate with the attempt to retest the 1285 resistance level failing. Gold prices remain caught within the range of 1285 and 1274 levels as a result. In the near term, this consolidation is likely to emerge into a breakout. With the bias balanced, the breakout could be in any direction. On the upside, above 1285 resistance, gold prices could be seen pushing higher, targeting 1304 resistance. On the downside, a break down below 1274 will signal a continuation towards the 1262 handle.
