COCOA Analysis: Lower rainfall in Ivory Coast bullish for #C-COCOA

June 11, 2020

By IFCMarkets

Lower rainfall in Ivory Coast bullish for #C-COCOA

Lower than usual rainfall in Ivory Coast last week highlighted need for more rain to boost the crop. Ivory Coast is the world’s top cocoa producer. The International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) cut its forecast for global production by 74,000 tons to 4.75 million in its latest quarterly update on May 29. It forecast a global cocoa deficit of 80,000 tons in the 2019/20 season that runs from October to September. The estimate is slightly below its previous projection of 85,000 tons. ICCO forecast production in Ivory Coast to reach 2.15 million tons in 2019/20, down from a previous projection of 2.18 million. Data showed rainfall in both western and eastern regions of Ivory Coast were below the average last week. Lower rainfall in top cocoa producer country is bullish for cocoa price.

IndicatorVALUESignal
RSINeutral
MACDBuy
Donchian ChannelNeutral
MA(200)Sell
FractalsBuy
Parabolic SARBuy

 

Summary of technical analysis

OrderBuy
Buy stopAbove 2477
Stop lossBelow 2314

Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets