Soybeans Analysis: Estimates of expanded US soybean planting bearish for price

April 29, 2020

By IFCMarkets

Estimates of expanded US soybean planting bearish for soybean price

US farmers planned to increase soybean acreage 9.7% in Spring 2020 compared with 2019 sowings which totaled 76.1 million acres – the lowest planted soybean acreage since 2011, according to US Department of Agriculture Prospective Plantings March 31 report. At the same time year to date soybean exports are behind those of the 2019/20 marketing year for all purchasing countries. Excluding China, the next 10 largest importers of US soybeans had purchased 10.5% fewer soybeans in the current marketing year than in 2018/19. And 2019/20 Chinese exports were nearly 50% lower to date than the previous five-year average. Lower demand and higher expected supply are bearish for soybean prices.

IndicatorVALUESignal
RSINeutral
MACDSell
Donchian ChannelSell
MA(200)Sell
FractalsSell
Parabolic SARSell

 

Summary of technical analysis

OrderSell
Buy stopBelow 825
Stop lossAbove 854.7

Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets