Dollar bearish bets edge up after weak data

April 27, 2020

By IFCMarkets

US dollar net short bets increase continued to $11.51 billion from $11.34 billion against the major currencies during the one week period, according to the report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) covering data up to April 21 and released on Friday April 24. The change in overall dollar position was due to increase in bullish bets on yen and Swiss franc, while bearish bets on Canadian and Australian dollars were cut further as they maintained net short positions against the dollar. British Pound bets turned bearish joining Canadian and Australian dollars. Bearish dollar bets rose as the Commerce Department reported a bigger than expected 8.7% drop in retail sales in March, and the Federal Reserve reported US capacities utilization declined to lower than expected 72.7% in March from 77%, while the industrial production fell 5.4% – the largest drop since 1946.

 

CFTC Sentiment vs Exchange Rate

April 14 2020 Bias Ex RateTrend Position $ mln Weekly Change
CAD bearish positive -1683 28
AUD bearish positive -2189 102
EUR bullish negative 11838 -51
GBP bullish positive -106 -361
CHF bullish positive 635 29
JPY bullish positive 3019 377
Total 11515

 

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