Will a break at 13,300 trigger a buying wave and push the DAX30 CFD up to the all-time highs?

By Admiral Markets

Source: Economic Events November 11, 2019 – Admiral Markets’ Forex Calendar

After bullish performance over the last week of trading, there seems to be a higher chance of a slow start into the new week.

Due to the “Veterans Day” bank holiday in the US, the US Fixed Income Markets will not be open for regular trading hours, indicating that trading volume will be lower than on average. That’s noteworthy because of the fact that yields have been a principal driver of price action in the last days, and with no impulses to be expected from this end, volatility should stay low.

From a technical perspective, the picture in the DAX30 CFD on H1 stays bullish and the Long sequence stays intact as long as the German index trades above 13,100 points. Only a break lower would darken the technical picture from a short-term perspective, activating the region around 12,970/13,000 points as a first target.

On the upside, the region around 13,300 points stays in focus: a break higher could initiate a Short-squeeze to around 13,500 points in the days to come. One main driver here could be the small expiration in DAX options next Friday. Data from EUREX shows an elevated Open Interest of Short Calls around 13,300 points and then around 13,500 points, meaning that a break above 13,300 could trigger a wave of market participants being in a need to hedge their Short exposure by buying the DAX:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Hourly chart (between October 22, 2019, to November 8, 2019). Accessed: November 8, 2019, at 10:00pm GMT

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Daily chart (between August 2, 2018, to November 8, 2019). Accessed: November 8, 2019, at 10:00pm GMT – Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, or future performance.

In 2014, the value of the DAX30 CFD increased by 2.65%, in 2015, it increased by 9.56%, in 2016, it increased by 6.87%, in 2017, it increased by 12.51%, in 2018, it fell by 18.26%, meaning that after five years, it was up by 10.5%.

Discover the world’s #1 multi-asset platform

Admiral Markets offers professional traders the ability to trade with a custom, upgraded version of MetaTrader 5, allowing you to experience trading at a significantly higher, more rewarding level. Experience benefits such as the addition of the Market Heat Map, so you can compare various currency pairs to see which ones might be lucrative investments, access real-time trading data, and so much more. Click the banner below to start your FREE download of MT5 Supreme Edition!

Disclaimer: The given data provides additional information regarding all analysis, estimates, prognosis, forecasts or other similar assessments or information (hereinafter “Analysis”) published on the website of Admiral Markets. Before making any investment decisions please pay close attention to the following:

1. This is a marketing communication. The analysis is published for informative purposes only and are in no way to be construed as investment advice or recommendation. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
2. Any investment decision is made by each client alone whereas Admiral Markets shall not be responsible for any loss or damage arising from any such decision, whether or not based on the Analysis.
3. Each of the Analysis is prepared by an independent analyst (Jens Klatt, Professional Trader and Analyst, hereinafter “Author”) based on the Author’s personal estimations.
4. To ensure that the interests of the clients would be protected and objectivity of the Analysis would not be damaged Admiral Markets has established relevant internal procedures for prevention and management of conflicts of interest.
5. Whilst every reasonable effort is taken to ensure that all sources of the Analysis are reliable and that all information is presented, as much as possible, in an understandable, timely, precise and complete manner, Admiral Markets does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information contained within the Analysis. The presented figures refer that refer to any past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
6. The contents of the Analysis should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Admiral Markets that the client shall profit from the strategies therein or that losses in connection therewith may or shall be limited.
7. Any kind of previous or modeled performance of financial instruments indicated within the Publication should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Admiral Markets for any future performance. The value of the financial instrument may both increase and decrease and the preservation of the asset value is not guaranteed.
8. The projections included in the Analysis may be subject to additional fees, taxes or other charges, depending on the subject of the Publication. The price list applicable to the services provided by Admiral Markets is publicly available from the website of Admiral Markets.
9. Leveraged products (including contracts for difference) are speculative in nature and may result in losses or profit. Before you start trading, you should make sure that you understand all the risks.

By Admiral Markets