COT Report: Speculators boost Gold, Silver & USD Index bets. 10-Year bets go more bearish

July 27, 2019

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Here are this week’s links to the latest Commitment of Traders data changes that were released on Friday.

This week in the COT data, USD Index speculator bets rose higher for a fourth straight week while the Canadian dollar speculator bets gained for a fifth straight week (CAD is now in overall bullish territory for a fourth week).

The Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar bearish bets decreased this week and both have now seen multi-week improvements in their bearish speculator positions.

Precious metals speculators continued to add to their bullish bets in both Gold and Silver again this week. Gold positions increased for the 7th time in the past 8 weeks while Silver bets jumped by over +17,000 contracts to a 21-Week High.

Copper speculators, meanwhile, decreased their bearish bets for a second straight week after speculator bets had gone more bearish in eleven out of the previous twelve weeks.


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The 10-Year Bond positions continued to go more bearish this week for a second straight week. Overall, the 10-Year Bond speculative position has now been in bearish territory dating all the way back to December of 2017.

The WTI Crude oil speculators reduced their bullish bets this week after positions had gone higher in four out of the previous five weeks.

Finally, VIX speculators trimmed their bearish bets this week after six straight weeks of rising bearish positions. Specs have raised their bearish bets in 22 out of 29 weeks so far in 2019 and recently notched a record high bearish level on April 30th at -180,359 contracts.


Speculators add to US Dollar Index, CAD bullish bets. AUD, NZD bearish bets dip

Large currency speculators advanced their net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. See full article.


WTI Crude Oil Speculators pulled back on their bullish bets this week

The large speculator contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 397,851 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -25,911 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


10-Year Note Speculators added to their bearish bets for 2nd straight week

Large speculator contracts of the 10-Year Bond futures totaled a net position of -380,169 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -32,947 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Gold Speculators raised their bullish bets for 7th time in 8 weeks

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the Gold futures totaled a net position of 251,250 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 5,749 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.

 


VIX Speculators trim their bearish bets for 1st time in 7 weeks

Large stock market volatility speculator contracts of the VIX futures totaled a net position of -132,267 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 9,530 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Silver Speculators push their bullish bets to 21-Week High

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the silver futures totaled a net position of 54,761 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 17,336 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Copper Speculators bets rebounded for a second straight week

Metals speculator contracts of the copper futures totaled a net position of -24,049 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 7,894 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).