By Mexgroup.com

GBP/USD Stuggling To Hold Ground

The GBP/USD posted some gains on Tuesday, but seems too overbought to stay near the 1.3618 previous high. The pair is still located in the green area, so it could climb towards new peaks after a minor decrease.

Price has found temporary resistance1.3618 level and dropped below a broken dynamic resistance. The Cable has managed to drag the pair higher as the greenback was weakened by the USDX’s drop. The dollar index slides further on the short term after the failure to close above the 92.49 static resistance (support turned into resistance).

The dollar index is still under pressure because is locked below some important resistance levels, he needs a helping hand from the FOMC in the afternoon, but I’m not very confident that will receive one. There are rumors that said that the FED will raise the rate in December. Personally, I’m expecting for a dovish speech, which could punish the USD.

Price is fighting hard to stay above the 150% Fibonacci line (ascending dotted line) of the ascending pitchfork, but I don’t believe that will succeed. Could come down to retest the warning line (wl1)  and  also the upside line of the ascending channel.

The next upside target remains at the lower median line (lml) of the ascending pitchfork, but a valid breakout above the 150% line will invalidate a further increase.

You should be careful during the FOMC Rate Statement and later during the FOMC Press Conference because these events could shake the markets.

USD/CHF Facing Tough Resistance

The pair has resumed the yesterday’s bullish candle, but remains to see if will have enough directional energy to climb much higher. Price is pressuring the median line (ml), remains to see if will have enough energy to close above it and above the 0.9634 level. A valid breakout will confirm a further increase within the minor ascending pitchfork’s body.

AUD/USD False Breakdown?

AUD/USD rallied on Tuesday and tries to stay within the minor ascending pitchfork’s body. Has failed to reach and retest the lower median line (LML) of the major ascending pitchfork. Technically, it was expected to reach this level and even to breakdown under it. Could come back up to retest the upper median line (uml) of the minor descending pitchfork before will drop further.

By Olimpiu Tuns

Market Analyst

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