Forex Futures Speculators added to bearish bets in EUR & GBP for 5th straight week

November 30, 2015

By CountingPips.com | Weekly Large Trader COT Report: Currencies

A quick update on the latest weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday due to the Thanksgiving holiday schedule shows that traders increased their bearish bets in the euro currency for a fifth straight week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, increased their bets last week in favor of the Japanese yen, Australian dollar and the Mexican Peso while decreasing weekly bets for the euro, British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar and the New Zealand dollar, according to CFTC data.

In addition to the five week slide in the euro, speculators continued to decrease positions in some of the major currencies for multiple weeks. Bets for the British pound sterling are lower for a fifth straight week, the Swiss franc positions are down for a fourth straight week while the New Zealand dollar bets are lower for a third week and Canadian dollar positions have fallen for the past two weeks.

This latest COT data is through Tuesday November 24th and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

Please see the individual currency charts and their respective data points below. (Click on Charts to Enlarge)


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Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

EURO-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20151020357133741379329-17686-6256618010
201510273805642343113445055121-105934-43368
201511034054622489816894434494-134334-28400
201511104219671650518455515611-142939-8605
201511174368011483420415219597-164177-21238
20151124444626782521592211770-175484-11307

 

British Pound Sterling:

GBP-Brit-Pound-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201510201580435879-345-22864753715064
20151027153453-4590769580404134-3403
20151103151194-2259773035188-3946
20151110172346211523690129171-15770-15958
201511171752542908452328331-25260-9490
20151124172390-2864513796147-32256-6996

 

Japanese Yen:

Japanese-Yen-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201510201842811440813067-8689-363910193
2015102718947251915520442137-33911-30272
2015110320427114799651279923-43787-9876
20151110234202299319768632559-66888-23101
201511172503461614411122413538-78611-11723
20151124247513-2833107933-3291-773361275

 

Swiss Franc:

CHF-Swiss-Franc-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20151020356286946735-52166252977
201510273845328251241256771499874
2015110351953135002244810036-7035-8534
20151110600318078278835435-9310-2275
20151117671197088350127129-15329-6019
20151124729455826427057693-22209-6880

 

Canadian Dollar:

Canadian-Dollar-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20151020121148434834550-10172-271126837
20151027122885173731969-2581-188958217
20151103119629-325632644675-19491-596
2015111013436014731356022958-179071584
2015111714178574254996714365-28352-10445
201511241437421957571487181-38617-10265

 

Australian Dollar:

Australian-Dollar-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20151020140367-1657506362909-38412-4707
2015102714100864149145-1491-363522060
2015110314586148535949510350-38625-2273
2015111015359077298018620691-52830-14205
201511171620838493888648678-66464-13634
20151124152585-949875027-13837-571459319

 

New Zealand Dollar:

NewZealand-Dollar-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20151020301421104-1418-425437593067
20151027317431601-3029-161155891830
2015110332539796-4066-103766181029
20151110337191180-221518515564-1054
20151117348991180-90113145248-316
2015112435099200-4484534010-1238

 

Mexican Peso:

Mexican-Peso-COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
2015102011995535373125-4189-6163527
20151027136629166742242-883-83533
20151103148844122152024-218-735-652
2015111015854396992175419730-18835-18100
20151117181499229564185520101-38263-19428
20151124189063756430182-11673-292619002

 

 

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The charts overlay the forex closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.) See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.

All information contained in this article cannot be guaranteed to be accurate and is used at your own risk. All information and opinions on this website are for general informational purposes only and do not in any way constitute investment advice.

Article by CountingPips.com

 

 

 

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