Large Speculators went sharply bearish in 10 Year Treasury Notes last week

October 24, 2015

By CountingPips.com | Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note

CFTC Futures data shows speculators resume bearish net position

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions:

Large 10-year treasury note futures traders and speculators cut their overall positions last week to a new bearish net position after one week in bullish territory, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of the 10-year treasury notes, primarily traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -37,813 contracts in the data reported for October 20th. This was a weekly change of -55,505 net contracts from the previous week’s total of +17,692 net contracts that was recorded on October 13th.

For the week, the overall standing long positions in 10-year futures fell by -17,937 contracts and combined with a rise in the short positions by 37,568 contracts to register the overall net change of -55,505 contracts for the week.


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The speculative net position is the most bearish since September 15th 2015 when net bearish positions equaled -39,478 contracts.

10 Year US Treasury Note Commercial Positions:

In the commercial positions for the 10-year note on the week, the commercials (hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes) raised their overall bullish positions to a total net position of +101,746 contracts through October 20th. This is a weekly change of +50,498 contracts from the total net position of +51,248 contracts on October 13th.

IEF 7-10 Year Bond ETF:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday October 13th to Tuesday October 20th, the 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF dipped from 107.90 to 107.61, according to ETF data for the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF).

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150915 2731653 -44899 138331 10264 -39478 -15552
20150922 2644568 -87085 93345 -44986 -8529 30949
20150929 2753639 109071 47914 -45431 22490 31019
20151006 2769936 16297 68049 20135 -2543 -25033
20151013 2794144 24208 51248 -16801 17692 20235
20151020 2775372 -18772 101746 50498 -37813 -55505

 

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

Article by CountingPips.com

 

 

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