10-Year Treasury Note Speculators increased bearish positions sharply for 3rd week

December 21, 2014

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note




CFTC Futures data shows speculators pushed bearish bets to highest level in 4 years

10 Year Treasuries: Large 10-Year Note futures traders sharply added to their overall bearish bets last week for a third week as bearish positions have risen to the largest bearish position in over four years, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of the 10-year treasury notes, primarily traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -258,250 contracts in the data reported for December 16th. This was a weekly change of -56,915 net contracts from the previous week’s total of -201,335 net contracts that was recorded on December 9th.

For the week, the overall standing long positions in 10-year futures fell by 32,335 contracts and combined with a sharp rise in short positions by 24,580 contracts to register the overall net change of -56,915 contracts for the week.


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Bearish positions have now reached their highest level since May of 2010, according to Reuters research.

Over the weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday December 9th to Tuesday December 16th, the yield on the 10-Year treasury note declined from 2.22 percent to 2.07 percent, according to data from the United States Treasury Department.

 

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Non-Commercial Positions

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Net Large Specs Weekly Change 10 Year Yield
11/11/2014 2786466 390566 503024 -112458 -65172 2.38
11/18/2014 2902018 398903 526231 -127328 -14870 2.32
11/25/2014 3032735 386471 461798 -75327 52001 2.27
12/02/2014 2670284 344423 506947 -162524 -87197 2.28
12/09/2014 2628838 305733 507068 -201335 -38811 2.22
12/16/2014 2693428 273398 531648 -258250 -56915 2.07



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).




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