Central Bank News Link List – 18 April 2012

By Central Bank News
Here's today's Central Bank News link list, click through if you missed the previous central bank news link list.  Remember, if you want to submit links for inclusion in the daily link list, just email them through to us or post them in the comments section below.

MLPs: Lower Taxes, Bigger Dividends

Article by Investment U

MLPs: Lower Taxes, Bigger Dividends

One solution for income investors who’d prefer to hang on to their money rather than paying the government is master limited partnerships (MLPs).

“Let me tell you how it will be
There’s one for you, nineteen for me
Cause I’m the taxman, yeah, I’m the taxman.

– The Beatles

Like many Americans, I spent this past weekend going over my tax information so I could put it in the mail yesterday – at the last possible minute. I’ve said before, I actually don’t hate paying taxes. I like the fact that my kids go to a decent school, that the military protects us. and if I have to call 911, somebody shows up to help within minutes.

As Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. said, “Taxes are the price we pay for civilization.”

Of course, there’s plenty of waste as well, but that’s a topic for another column.

Just because I understand that taxes are necessary to help our society function, that doesn’t mean that I want to pay one penny more than I’m legally obligated.

Fortunately for income investors, the tax rate on dividends is at a low 15%. Although that could change next year if the Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire.

But even a low tax rate is tough to take in this extremely low interest rate environment. On a two-year CD rate, you’re lucky to get 1%. Take taxes out and your money is barely growing at all.

So it’s not surprising that investors need a way to earn more income and avoid paying taxes on that income at the same time.

But muni bonds won’t do the trick. A quality 10-year municipal bond will get you about 2% on average. That doesn’t even keep pace with inflation – whether you’re paying taxes or not.

Have No Fear, MLPs Are Here

One solution for income investors who’d prefer to hang on to their money rather than paying the government is master limited partnerships (MLPs).

About 80% of all MLPs are oil and gas companies. The rest are in diverse industries including investments and even cemeteries.

A MLP is similar to a real estate investment trust (REIT) in that at least 90% of its income is passed along to unit holders. As a result, the company doesn’t pay corporate tax.

And because it must pay out virtually all of its income to unit holders, MLPs tend to have higher yields than ordinary dividend-paying stocks. For example, the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETF (NYSE: AMLP) has a yield of 6%. It tracks the index, which is comprised of 50 prominent energy-related MLPs.

But here’s where it gets interesting if you own an MLP. Due to a depreciation allowance, most of the income received by MLP unit holders is considered a return of capital, not a dividend. So the 15% (and possibly higher in the future) tax rate does not apply. A return of capital is not taxed, because it’s considered a return of investors’ own money.

Of course, Uncle Sam is going to get his money eventually. What happens is the distribution lowers your cost basis. Once you sell the stock, if you have a lower cost basis, your capital gain will be higher and you’ll pay taxes on the capital gain.

For example, you buy shares of a MLP for $20 per share. In the first year, you receive a cash distribution of $1 per share. For the sake of this example, let’s assume the entire $1 distribution is considered a return of capital. You will not pay taxes on the $1, but your cost basis now drops to $19.

In the following year, you receive another $1 per share distribution. Again, you don’t pay taxes on the $1, but your cost basis is now $18.

In year three, you sell the stock for $22. Even though you originally bought it for $20, your capital gain will be $4, because your cost basis was lowered to $18. You will pay capital gains taxes on the $4.

Keep in mind, that’s just a simplified example. MLPs have a more complex tax structure, so be sure to talk to your tax professional before investing in them.

Tax-Deferred Toll Collectors

What really I like about MLPs is that because they’re already tax deferred, I can keep them in my taxable account, rather than taking up space in my IRAs (you might actually pay a penalty if it’s in your IRA, so be sure to talk to a tax professional). Additionally, I can reinvest the distribution, which is something I do with all of my income-producing stocks, without having to pay taxes on it (or most of it).

I also like the business models of many of the energy MLPs. Very often they’re pipeline companies that aren’t impacted much by the price volatility in oil and gas. They’re simply the toll collectors, allowing the various energy companies to use their pipelines to transport oil and gas. Of course, supply and demand will impact their business, but generally speaking, the day-to-day price change won’t.

One company that I like in the space is Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD). It currently has a yield of 4.9%. Interestingly, this stock is one that I’ve recommended in Oxford Systems Trader – not because of its yield or tax-deferred status but because of its earnings and cash flow growth, as well as the efficiency of its management.

So investors have the opportunity to own the stock of an impressive company, not just a solid income vehicle.

MLPs offer investors the chance to earn a good yield that is mostly tax deferred.

While you may not be paying the 95% super tax that sparked George Harrison’s ire and caused him to write one of his first songs for the Fab 4, there’s still nothing wrong with legally hanging on to your money for as long as you can rather than giving it to the government.

After all, if someone is going to blow their money in Vegas, it might as well be you instead of the GSA.

Good Investing,

Marc Lichtenfeld

Article by Investment U

Aussie and Kiwi advance on IMF Global Economic Outlook Report

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox (Dublin) – South pacific dollars gained against most major currencies today as the International Monetary Fund gave a positive global economic growth outlook today. The report led to an increase in demand of higher yielding assets causing the strengthening of the Australian and New Zealand dollars. The Kiwi increased against the US dollar and the Japanese yen as implied volatility of Group of Seven currencies touched the weakest level in more than three years.

The two south pacific dollars strengthened after reports of an increase in German investor confidence hit the Asian session this morning. The surpassing of the set target at a Spanish bill sale was also an indication that traders are expecting the ECB to alleviate the situation in Spain even after the Spain ten year yields soared to 6.0 percent.

New Zealand and Australian have high interest rate benchmarks of 2.5 percent and 4.25 percent respectively; as a result the declining implied volatility of three month options for Group of Seven currencies to 9.66 percent from a decade’s average of 10.6 percent led to an increase in demand of two currencies.

According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, the global economy will grow by 3.5 percent and 4.1 percent in 2012 and 2013 respectively. This is a revised outlook from its January forecast of 3.3 percent and 3 percent in 2012 and 2013 respectively. Another report by ZEW showed that analysts expectation increased to 23.4 in April from 22.3 reported in March making it the highest level since June 2010. Further, the demand for Spain’s 12-month bills exceeded expectations yesterday. These events have led to the increase of the south pacific currencies in the New York session yesterday which has been dragged in to the Asian session today.

The Aussie was up by 0.3 percent against the greenback exchanging at $1.0390 and exchanged at 84.00 against the yen which is 0.9 percent increase. On the other hand the kiwi grew stronger by 0.1 percent against the US dollar to exchange at 82.10 cents and regained its previous loses against the yen gaining 0.6 percent to trade at 66.38 yen.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

Japanese Yen Weakens Whilst Pound Climbs

Source: ForexYard

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The Japanese Yen fell against most of its Major Currency counterparts for the second-day in a row.
The Yen weakened after the Bank of Japan mentioned that more stimulus may be required despite the fact that it seems global economic growth is gaining momentum.

The Japanese currency took a hit after Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Kiyohiko Nishimura stated that the central bank is prepared to implement additional easing.

According to the Bloomberg Correlation Weighted Indexes, among the Ten-developed nation currencies, the Yen has performed the worst  for the past three months.

Elsewhere the British Pound appreciated shortly after the Bank of England minutes showing policy maker Adam Posens’ push for another stimulus had come to an end.The Pound appreciated 0.8 percent against the 17-nation euro whilst also seeing gains of 0.4 percent versus the U.S dollar.

The Sterling climbed for a second consecutive day against the Euro as a result of Posen joining the majority of the Monetary Policy Committee in indicating no further alterations to the 325 billion pound asset-purchase target.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

U.S. Coal Companies Poised for a Rebound?

Article by Investment U

U.S. Coal Companies Poised for a Rebound?

U.S. coal companies like Walter Energy (NYSE: WLT) have taken a beaten throughout the past year. Will this continue, or have the markets overreacted?

Coal companies get no love in the United States anymore.

On March 27, the EPA proposed the first ever Clean Air Act standard for carbon pollution from new power plants.

The proposal will limit any new power plant to emit a maximum of 1,000 pounds of CO2 per megawatt of electricity produced.

Since coal plants emit an average of 1,768 pounds of CO2 per megawatt, it’s obviously going to be a huge problem for coal companies if this legislation is passed.

The Washington Post even says, “The move could end the construction of conventional coal-fired facilities in the United States.”

But as if the future didn’t look dreary enough, demand for coal as America’s primary energy source is already fading.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports electricity generated by coal fell 21% in 2011.

As a result, in the last 12 months, U.S. coal companies have taken a shellacking.

U.S. Coal Producers

The top three U.S. producers, Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI), and Cloud Peak Energy (NYSE: CLD), fell 56%, 70% and 26% respectively.

Yet is it possible the markets may have overreacted and left a good opportunity for some profit taking?

I think so. And here’s why…

It’s All About the Big Picture

Demand for coal in the United States may be declining, but around the world it’s the fastest growing energy source since 2000.

The EIA said it expects coal usage to jump 50% to 10 billion tons by 2030.

And U.S. coal companies have already been steadily been increasing their presence abroad.

The Associated Press recently reported U.S. coal exports topped 107 million tons in 2011, the highest level since 1991 and more than double the volume exported in 2006. This number is expected to jump even higher this year.

Peabody, Arch Coal and Cloud Peak Energy could be propped up for a rebound as U.S. coal exports continue to increase. But there’s another coal company that stands out to me – Walter Energy (NYSE: WLT).

A Pure Play on Metallurgical Coal

Based out of Birmingham, Alabama, Walter Energy is the world’s leading publicly traded metallurgical, or met, coal producer for the global steel industry.

Met coal is an essential part of producing steel. Meanwhile, thermal coal is used for electricity generation.

Even as nations switch to cleaner fuel sources like natural gas and alternative energy for their power grids, met coal will still be a very necessary component to industrial growth anywhere in the world. This makes WLT an attractive candidate for consideration in my opinion.

But there’s a second reason WLT looks ripe for the taking: Nearly 90% of the company’s sales already come from overseas markets. In fact, 75% of them come from Europe and Asia, two of the biggest, fastest growing coal consuming regions of the world.

WLT’s international strategy and specialization in producing met coal enabled it to achieve record revenue of $2.6 billion in 2011, up 62% from 2010. It also reached record met-coal sales of 8.7 million metric tons and record earnings before taxes.

Yet despite all of its achievements, last year was not good for WLT… at all. Shares tumbled 52% as the coal company was beat down with the rest of the industry.

But the falling out may be just about over… At least, WLT’s insiders seem to think so. Over the past four months, they’ve acquired $2.2 million worth of company stock.

There are also rumors WLT could be good potential takeover candidate. This isn’t anything new, but it’s just another reason you should keep a close eye on this uniquely positioned coal company.

Good Investing,

Mike Kapsch

Article by Investment U

EUR/USD Outlook Remains Bearish

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox (Dublin) – Last week saw the euro/dollar pair, close at lower level due to Spanish concerns. However, these concerns have continued to haunt the pair to this week with the pair sliding lower. The eurozone is on the spotlight again with pressure on Spain growing. The country is currently hosting EU inspectors and Italian official are putting on more pressure. Further, the market has pushed Spanish yields higher and the ECB has hinted on reigniting its bond buying scheme, but LTROs are expected. In the US things are better with chances of the third round or quantitative easing diminishing.

The EUR/USD cross registered a one-month low in the Asian session as news of the Spanish banks borrowing a record amount from the ECB hit the market. The situation in Spain continues to worsen with ten-year yields soaring to 6.0 percent. However, the pair has recovered in the European session trading at 1.3032 as German economic sentiment were above the market forecast of 19.7 percent posting a reading of 23.4. The market is expecting the Current Account report today which is projected to drop from 4.5 billion euros to 4.3 billion euros. The Consumer Confidence, the German PPI and German Ifo Business climate are other reports that are expected to affect the pair further this week.

The EUR/USD cross is expected o continue on a bearish trend through to next week as the eurozone debt crisis continues. Analysts are expecting the situation in Spain to deteriorate and the market to put more attention to the regions debt crisis. Traders will be looking for safe haven currencies like the yen, greenback and the Swiss franc. Traders will also find some safety in the sterling pound as positive reports from the region builds investor confidence.

While economic outlook for the US does not look too good either, a weakening dollar and an increase in concerns about a QE3 will be prompted by global economy especially the Chinese economic slowdown. Bad economic outlook for the US and China, which are the largest world economies, means a greater risk aversion which is not supportive of the euro. As such, euro/dollar remains bearish.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

The Buffett Rule: Do As Warren Buffett Says, Not As He Does

Article by Investment U

The Buffett Rule

Naturally, when Warren Buffett speaks, the rest of us listen. Unfortunately in this case, his words don’t appear to be matching his actions…

Just about everybody has heard of the “Buffett Tax” by now. Also known as the “Billionaire’s Tax” or the “Buffett Rule,” it seeks to establish a minimum 30% tax rate on Americans whose household income equals $1 million or more.

On Monday evening, the Democrat-controlled Senate struck the proposition down 51-45. Despite the majority in favor, the “Buffett Rule” failed to gain the 60 votes it needed to pass, and that was even with Maine’s Susan Collins, a Republican, approving it.

According to a recent Gallup poll, approximately 60% of Americans supported the added tax against “the rich,” which means that a majority of Americans are disappointed with Tuesday morning’s news. That includes The Christian Science Monitor’s Brad Knickerbocker, who recently praised the Buffet Rule as:

“… a wonderful political device – a call to even out the tax burden in a way that picks the pockets of those ‘millionaires and billionaires’ President Obama keeps talking about while evening things out for the vast American middle class. It’s very easy to understand, especially in contrast to a tax code requiring battalions of lawyers to navigate. And it has this wonderfully avuncular fellow for whom it’s named.”

That “avuncular fellow” is of course the legendary investor Warren Buffett. Nicknamed the “Oracle of Omaha,” Buffett runs a supremely successful business buying up undervalued companies and turning them into real moneymakers.

If his accumulated billions don’t testify to his accomplishments enough, his Berkshire Hathaway stock – which is valued at over $119,000 – certainly does. Over the last few decades, that holding company has returned more than 1,000%, and Buffett’s personal $105,000 investment is now worth tens of billions.

Naturally, when Warren Buffett speaks, the rest of us listen. Unfortunately in this case, his words don’t appear to be matching his actions…

Buffett Says He Supports Higher Taxes for the Rich

Last year, Warren Buffett did a lot of speechmaking, mainly about the tax proposal that quickly came to bear his name.

It all started with a piece published by The New York Times, where he aired his thoughts on how rich people like him weren’t paying nearly as much in taxes as they should be, especially when the middle and lower classes were struggling so badly.

Many people construed his initial message and subsequent crusade as noble and selfless. But actions speak a lot louder than words, and the truth is that Buffett’s actual business decisions simply don’t match up with his verbal declarations.

Now part of what makes Buffett such an excellent businessman is that he knows how to read the signs, both when it comes to the economy and public sentiment. (It also doesn’t hurt that, according to Peter Schweizer in his book, Throw Them All Out, Buffett also has powerful crony capitalist ties to Congress.)

So he was very well aware that the Occupy Wall Street movement was making the news every other day in 2011, while the remaining space went to the struggling economy and national deficit. As one of the wealthiest men in the world, he could have easily come under public condemnation in that overarching outcry for excessive spending.

He therefore simply took the necessary steps to protect himself from that possibility. Yet for all of his talk about greater taxation, Buffett and the IRS are anything but the best of friends, as evidenced by their legal history of butting heads.

Buffett’s Battle With the IRS

Over the decades, Warren Buffett has tangled with the IRS more than once.

AIG President Bill Wilson easily remembers “a 14-year battle over the dividends received deduction.” The case was resolved in 2005 in Buffett’s favor, but that wasn’t the end of his disagreements with the IRS.

There’s also the approximate $1 billion in taxes the government says he owes them. That seemingly large sum represents a mere 0.2% of Berkshire Hathaway’s $372 billion total assets, yet Buffett isn’t budging on that lawsuit, either.

The same goes for another tax controversy exposed by The Wall Street Journal, this one involving his decision to invest in Bank of America as a legal – but frowned upon – loophole that allows him to keep even more of this money.

None of that behavior at all matches Buffett’s well-publicized advice on the subject. As the aforementioned Wilson pointed out, “On one hand Buffett advocates for paying more taxes, but when it comes to his own company’s taxes, he has gone through great lengths to pay less.”

That reality discounts him as a credible expert on the subject, at least when it comes to supporting his namesake legislative proposal. It also doesn’t help his case that even the Obama administration and bipartisan panels arranged by the Tax Policy Center in Washington agree that the Buffett Rule wouldn’t do much to change the nation’s economic woes.

As White House National Economic Council Deputy Director Jason Furman explained, the tax “was never our plan to bring the deficit down and get the debt under control.”

That means it was all but worthless. And, despite public sentiment on the subject, Monday’s vote was worthwhile after all.

Good Investing,

Jeanette Di Louie

Article by Investment U

“Waning Enthusiasm” for Precious Metals as Prices Drift, Bank of England says “Uncomfortably” High Inflation “Might Be Persistent”

London Gold Market Report
from Ben Traynor
BullionVault
Wednesday 18 April 2012, 08:30 EDT

SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices drifted lower in Wednesday morning’s London trading, hitting $1640 an ounce ahead of US trading – a 1.1% fall on the week so far – while stock markets also fell and commodities were broadly flat.

Silver bullion fell as low as $31.52 per ounce – broadly in line with where it started the week.
UK government bond prices dipped – while German bunds gained as Eurozone concerns continued to focus on Spain.

“This morning, we’ve seen [precious metals] succumb to waning investor enthusiasm,” says Marc Ground, commodities strategist at Standard Bank.

“People won’t want to commit too much at this point,” agrees Ronald Leung, a dealer in physical bullion at Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.

“There is some [gold] buying when prices fall to the $1630-$1640 level, but the volume shrinks when prices rebound to $1660-$1670.”

The daily average volume of gold bullion transferred between parties by clearing members of the London Bullion Market Association rose to 622 tonnes last month, a 3.8% gain on February, according to LBMA figures published Tuesday.

“The value of transfers [however] was broadly unchanged a $33.8 billion,” the LBMA reports, “reflecting the fact that higher trading activity was offset by the fall in the gold price”.

On an annual basis, the daily average volume of gold transferred was up 6.4% on March 2011.
Transfers of silver bullion meantime averaged 4889 tonnes – a 1.8% fall on February.

European stock markets traded lower Wednesday morning, with the FTSE in London down around 0.5% and Germany’s DAX off 1% by lunchtime. The falls are in contrast with gains seen in Asia and Tuesday’s US session.

These rallies followed publication Tuesday of International Monetary Fund forecasts showing the IMF has revised upwards its expectations for global economic growth, though it says it still expects the Eurozone’s economy to shrink.

Yields on 10-Year Spanish government bonds eased slightly to 5.8% Wednesday morning, ahead of tomorrow’s auction of 2-Year and 10-Year debt.

Analysts are concerned however that Spain’s struggling economy could threaten a banking crisis and compromise the government’s fiscal position.

“If you look ahead, let’s say the next six months, I would not be surprised if [Spanish banks] have to get some kind of European support,” says Carsten Brzeski, Brussels-based senior economist at ING, adding that banks would need funds from the European Financial Stability Facility, the Eurozone’s temporary bailout fund set up in 2010.

The number of non-performing loans on Spanish bank balance sheets “will have to rise when you take into account the unemployment rate and what’s happening with the economy,” says Andrew Bosomworth, head of portfolio management at world’s largest bond fund Pimco in Munich.

“One of our concerns in Spain is to what extent contingent liabilities could pass to the central government.”

In New York, hedge fund boss John Paulson – whose firm offers investors gold bullion denominated funds – has told investors he is shorting German bunds because he expects deterioration in the Eurozone will end up affecting Germany’s creditworthiness, the Financial Times reports.

Here in the UK, “elevated inflation might be more persistent” than the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee previously expected, according to minutes published Wednesday of the MPC meeting earlier this month.

Only one MPC member voted to increase quantitative easing – down from two members last month.

The publication of the minutes – as well as that of a speech by MPC member Paul Tucker in which he describes inflation as “uncomfortably above target” – was followed by the Pound rallying against the Dollar.

The gold price in Sterling fell to £1026 per ounce by lunchtime in London – 1.9% down on where it ended last week.

UK unemployment meantime fell to 8.3% in February – down from 8.4% a month earlier – according to the International Labour Organization’s 3-month unemployment data published this morning.

The majority of reserve managers at the world’s central banks consider gold a more attractive investment than last year – while they are wary of Euro exposure – according to a new survey by Central Banking Publications.

Ben Traynor
BullionVault

Gold value calculator   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Editor of Gold News, the analysis and investment research site from world-leading gold ownership service BullionVault, Ben Traynor was formerly editor of the Fleet Street Letter, the UK’s longest-running investment letter. A Cambridge economics graduate, he is a professional writer and editor with a specialist interest in monetary economics.

(c) BullionVault 2011

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

 

GBP/USD to Remain At Mid 1.59

By TraderVox.com

​Tradervox (Dublin) – The GBP/USD cross was slightly down over last week, but positive reports from the UK have pushed the pair up to almost 1.60 level. UK inflation releases came just like the market had predicted with the CPI figures coming at exactly 3.5 percent as it had been predicted. The core CPI was slightly above the market prediction of 2.4 percent at 2.5 percent while the RPI was exactly predicted to come at 3.6 percent.

The HPI was also predicted correctly to come at 0.3 percent. Despite the cross dropping considerably to 1.5835 in the Asian market, it has bounced back and is now trading at 1.5963 after the MPC Meeting Minutes were released showing a voting pattern of 8-1 in favor of the current monetary policy just like it had been predicted. The bullish trend of the GBP/USD is also supported by the Claimant Count Change that came lower than the 7k projected by the market. The figure came at 3.6k which is lower than the previous reading of 4.5k registering a new three month low.

Another positive report is expected on Friday. The UK Retail Sales report is expected to show an increase of 0.4 percent after the Retail Sales plummeted in March by 0.8 percent. The positive reports this week are expected to push the GBP/USD up to above 1.60 level come next week. This week the pair opened the week at 1.5875 and came close to 1.60 level hitting 1.5984 in the last few days.

The GBP/USD next week outlook remains bullish considering the comments by Standard and Poor’s to keep the AAA rating of UK saying that the effort made by the political institution shows that the economy can handle economic shocks amicably. Fundamentals from the UK are lending support to the sterling pound hence the cross might be shying off at 1.60 level next week and might close the month above this level.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

Next Week Forex Outlook

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox (Dublin) – Next Week Forex Outlook:

UAD/USD-The cross rebounded this week as it advanced above 1.04 before retreating to 1.0370. Positive reports from Australia have led the currency to strengthen; however, the decline in China economy and the crisis in Europe might force the cross downward in the coming week. The cross is bound to remain neutral as the market remains unpleased with the bad job reports from US.

USD/JPY-global worries coming from all markets have continued to weigh down the cross. In the coming days the BOJ governor’s speech and the Japanese trade balance will affect the cross. The yen is seen as a safe haven currency by most traders as bad reports from all over the world are released. However, the BOJ is keen to keep the 80 yen per dollar level hence the cross will remain neutral over the next week.

USD/CHF-the crisis in Europe has boosted demand for the Swiss franc moving the cross downwards over the last few days. The increasing demand for the Swiss asset and negative reports from US will push the pair downward over the next week; however, if traders are pleased with Philly Manufacturing Survey, expected to be released this week, we might see the cross remain neutral over the next week.

USD/CAD-the cross has closed under parity as the market welcomed the decision by the BOC to keep the interest rates at 1 percent with a better economic outlook. The strong employment figures has countered global economic outlook hence giving the loonie some advantage; the weak NFP and poor jobless claims report has resulted to the weakening of the greenback. Hence the cross might remain neutral over the next week if the Philly Man. Survey comes as expected.

NZD/USD-the cross has moved to the highest in 6 months this week; however, concerns about China economy continues to weaken the New Zealand dollar. As such, the pair has pared the gains and is now selling at below 0.82 level of 0.8171. Next week’s outlook remains bearish as bad reports from China and Europe are expected to affect the kiwi.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox