HY MARKETS News: Index Report: FTSE 100

By HY Markets Forex Blog

FTSE 100 recently reversed down after it approached the buy target 6850.00 that was set in our previous report for this index. FTSE 100 earlier reversed sharply up with the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern the Hammer from 6800.00 (which is the lower border of the resistance zone which has been reversing the index down from last October, as you can see below).

The subsequent upward price impulse reversed down from 6850.00 (upper border of the aforementioned resistance zone). If FTSE 100 breaks above 6850.00 – it can rise to the next buy target at 6900.00. Alternatively, FTSE 100 is likely to correct down to 6700.00.

May12index

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HY MARKETS News: Commodities Report:Sugar

By HY Markets Forex Blog

Sugar recently reversed down from the upper resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from last October. The resistance zone near this trendline was strengthened by 61.8% Fibonacci Correction of the preceding downward price move from the end of the primary wave and the upper daily Bollinger Band (as you can see from the daily Sugar chart below).

Sugar is currently trading close to the lower support trendline of this Triangle. If Sugar breaks this trendline – it can fall to the next sell target at 0.1650 (low of earlier impulse 1).

May12commodities

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HY MARKETS News: Stocks Report: AT&T Inc

By HY Markets Forex Blog

AT&T continues to rise after the recent sharp reversal from the support zone lying at the intersection of the upper channel line of the wide daily down channel which has enclosed the earlier primary ABC correction from April of 2013 (acting as support now after it was broken in last month) and 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the preceding sharp intermediate impulse (1) from February.

The latest reversal form this support area created the strong Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern the Morning Star Doji. AT&T is set to rise further to the next buy target at 36.90.

May12stocks

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Article provided by HY Markets Forex Blog

HY MARKETS News: Stocks Report: AT&T Inc

By HY Markets Forex Blog

AT&T continues to rise after the recent sharp reversal from the support zone lying at the intersection of the upper channel line of the wide daily down channel which has enclosed the earlier primary ABC correction from April of 2013 (acting as support now after it was broken in last month) and 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the preceding sharp intermediate impulse (1) from February.

The latest reversal form this support area created the strong Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern the Morning Star Doji. AT&T is set to rise further to the next buy target at 36.90.

May12stocks

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Collateral Damage: What You and Monica Lewinsky Have in Common

By Dennis Miller

Collateral damage can assume many forms—and though some may be more newsworthy than others, the latter are no less real, nor any less frightening.

On Tuesday, controversial radio talk show host Rush Limbaugh called Monica Lewinsky “collateral damage in Hillary Clinton’s war on women,” saying that President Bill Clinton and his wife destroyed the former White House intern “after he got his jollies, after he got his consensual whatevers.”

Last month, Jeremy Grantham, cofounder of GMO, a Boston-based asset management firm that oversees $112 billion in client funds, dubbed savers “collateral damage” of quantitative easing and the Federal Reserve’s continued commitment to low interest rates.

Would it be worse to be known as the “president’s mistress” for more than a decade and, as Lewinsky claims, to be unable to find a normal job? Maybe. But it’s no laughing matter either to find yourself penniless in your “golden years.”

Signs of Monetary Collateral Damage Among Seniors

The 55-plus crowd accounts for 22% of all bankruptcy filings in the US—up 12% from just 13 years ago—and seniors age 65 and up are the fastest-growing population segment seeking bankruptcy protection. Given the wounds bankruptcy inflicts on your credit, reputation, and pride, it’s safe to assume those filing have exhausted all feasible alternatives.

But even seniors in less dire straits are finding it difficult to navigate low-interest rate waters. Thirty-seven percent of 65- to 74-year-olds still had a mortgage or home equity line of credit in 2010, up from 21% in 1989. For those 75 and older, that number jumped from 2% to 21% during the same timeframe—another mark of a debt-filled retirement becoming the norm. With an average balance of $9,300 as of 2012, the 65-plus cohort is also carrying more credit card debt than any other age group.

While climbing out of a $9,300 hole isn’t impossible, the national average credit card APR of 15% sure makes it difficult. For those with bad credit, that rate jumps to 22.73%—not quite the same as debtor’s prison, but close.

None of this points to an aging population adjusting its money habits to thrive under the Fed’s low-interest-rate regime.

Minimize Your Part of Comparative Negligence

A quick side note on tort law. Most states have some breed of the comparative-negligence rule on the books. This means a jury can reduce the monetary award it awards a tort plaintiff by the percentage of the plaintiff’s fault. Bob’s Pontiac hits Mildred’s Honda, causing Mildred to break her leg. Mildred sues Bob and the jury awards her $100,000, but also finds she was 7% at fault for the accident. Mildred walks with $93,000. (Actually, Mildred walks with $62,000 and her lawyer with $31,000, but I digress.)

Comparative-negligence rules exist because when a bad thing happens, the injured party may be partly responsible. For someone planning for retirement, the bad thing at issue is too much debt and too little savings. Through low interest rates, the Federal Reserve is responsible for X% of the problem.

Though ex-Fed chief Bernanke doesn’t seem to see it that way—in a dinner conversation with hedge fund manager David Einhorn, he asserted that raising interest rates to benefit savers wouldn’t be the right move for the economy because it would require borrowers to pay more for capital. Well, there you have it. And there’s nothing you can do about that X%. You can, however, reduce or eliminate your contribution.

In other words, you don’t have to be collateral damage; you can affect how your life plays out.

Money Lessons from Zen Buddhism

This might sound like a “duh” statement, but it bears repeating from time to time. Inheritance windfall from that great-aunt in Des Moines you’d forgotten about aside, there are two ways to eliminate debt and retire well: spend less or make more.

Rising healthcare costs, emergency car repairs, and the like are real impediments to reducing your bills. Costs rooted in attempts to “keep up with the Joneses,” however, are avoidable. Those attempts are also futile. A new, even richer Mr. Jones is always around the bend.

Instead of overspending for show, make like a Buddhist and let go of your attachment to things and your ego about owning them. Spring for that Zen rock garden if you must and start raking.

One of the wealthier men I know drove around for years with a gardening glove as a makeshift cover for his Peugeot’s worn-out stick-shift knob. It looked shabby, but this man wasn’t a car guy and had no need to impress. As far as I know, the gardening glove worked just fine until he finally donated the car to charity and happily took his tax deduction. Maintaining your car isn’t overspending, but you catch my drift. Dropping efforts to show off can benefit us all.

That said, keeping up isn’t always about show. You may feel pressure to overspend just to be able to enjoy time with your friends and family. Maybe you can no longer afford the annual Vail ski week with your in-laws or the flight to Hawaii for your nephew’s bar mitzvah. Maybe your friends are hosting caviar dinners, but you’re now on a McDonald’s budget and can no longer participate.

Spending less in order to stay within your budget can mean missing out on experiences, not just stuff. If you’re in this camp, there’s no reason to hang your head. As I mentioned above, you can spend less or you can make more. The latter is far more fun.

An Investment Strategy to Prevent You from Becoming Collateral Damage

While it’s tempting to start speculating with your retirement money, resist. If you have non-retirement dollars to play with and the constitution to handle it, carefully curated speculative investments can give you a welcome boost. However, if all of your savings is allocated for retirement, just don’t do it.

Unless you’re still working, how, then, can you make more money in a low-interest-rate world? At present, my team of analysts and I recommend investing your retirement dollars via the 50-20-30 approach:

  • 50%: Sector-diversified equities providing growth and income and a high margin of safety.
  • 20%: Investments made for higher yield coupled with appropriate stop losses.
  • 30%: Conservative, stable income vehicles.

No single investment should make up more than 5% of your retirement portfolio.

Whether you’re designing your retirement blueprint from scratch or want to apply our 50-20-30 strategy to your existing plan, the Miller’s Money team can help. Each Thursday enjoy exclusive updates on unique investing and retirement topics by signing up for my free weekly newsletter. Don’t let the Fed’s anti-senior and anti-saver policies unravel your retirement. Click here to start receiving Miller’s Money Weekly today.

 

Forex strategy: Hedging

By investment-guru.com

The term hedging is based upon a specific investment strategy, in order to avoid losses. There are several ways to make Hedging: For example, with the options ” Put” and ” Call” , with short selling , with Future lectures and so on.

The aim of hedging strategies is to prevent possible catastrophic losses. For example, if our biggest investment does not go well, hedging would cover the main loss completely or at least partially.

Essentially, you have to go short on the market (take a “put” position) to its currency to sell and then buy it back at a low price. For example: I am selling a currency or number of shares , which I do not possess , and I collect a payment. Now I owe a financial intermediary. I need to buy again within a certain time to pay back my debt. The economic advantage is again buy at a low price and take the difference .

forex strategy hedging

The best currency pair is the combination of GBP / JPY as it currently has the highest interest rates. In any case, we can independently choose the interest. One must then control the rate of the broker and this is not difficult . Before you open an account with a broker , you should check if the broker allows the opening of a position for an unlimited period of time and whether he himself claims the commission .

The commissions are definitely beneficial , even if it initially appears to us not as if the agent asks for a fee for the maintenance of the position , he offers us very likely to leave the position open for long periods .

Then you should check up on how much net your account has. The hedging strategy really requires a lot of money. If the currency pair GBP / JPY is desired , for example, as a cover , one needs at least $ 20,000. This is necessary to ensure the maximum monthly period for the pair GBP / JPY in altitude of 2000 pips . One must also not forget that if two different positions are open at two different brokers , you have to pay the spread twice . The first trading day and interest are in fact only necessary to cover the cost of the spread .

This is very important in order to get any request for margin ( profit margin ) .

Ultimately, the money management helps us to be able to manage such a situation here . We recommend monthly profits to be obtained. Doing so may cost a fee , so you should therefore check with your own broker , when he allowed a cash withdrawal during the opening of the positions or not.

The hedging is therefore not a strategy for everyone due to the amount of money that you need in order to implement this strategy into practice .

Discuss this strategy with us on our Forex and Binary Options Forum

 

 

 

GBP/JPY: Short-Term Downtrend Encounters Uptrend Hostility

Technical Sentiment: Neutral

Key Takeaways

  • GBP/JPY found buyers around 171.21 support;
  • May downtrend configuration at risk above 172.32 and 172.96;
  • A break-out outside the consolidation area is expected soon.

GBP/JPY bears put on a show at the end of last week, following BOE’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.50%. The pair went on to test April 28th Low at 171.2 before bouncing back up, which of course means the long term uptrend remains valid. On Wednesday cable will have a heavy news day with Unemployment Rate, Claimant Count Change and Inflation Report. Until then traders will rely only on a couple of technical levels within the consolidation area to cap it’s movements in both directions.

 

Technical Analysis
GBPJPY 12th may

GBP/JPY will remain within the current 200-pip consolidation area for a couple more days. The main support confluence is 171.24, formed around April 28th Low of 171.24 which coincides with 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement from 167.75 to 173.43.

The pair is currently trading around 172.20, facing an immediate resistance hurdle at 173.30/40 in the form of a Fibonacci confluence backed up by the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Averages on the 4H time frame. A break above this first resistance will expose 173.00 and the tops formed around 173.44/54. Such a move will invalidate this month’s Lower Low – Lower High configuration, favoring the return of the long term uptrend and a continuation above 173.50.

On the other hand, a rejection from the 172.30 resistance line or starting from the 173 area will lead to yet another test of the 171.24 support. If this fails to hold, the sell-off will accelerate towards 170.00 and 169.50, also putting the long term uptrend at risk due to the invalidation of the Higher Lows formations.

*********
Prepared by Alexandru Z., Chief Currency Strategist at Capital Trust Markets

 

 

 

 

Wave Analysis 12.05.2014 (DJIA Index, Crude Oil)

Article By RoboForex.com

Analysis for May 12th, 2014

DJIA Index

Chart structure is still bullish. Probably, after completing double three pattern inside wave [2], Index formed initial ascending wedge pattern inside wave (1). In the near term, correction inside wave (2) may continue.

As we can see at the H1 chart, After rebounding from upper border of wedge pattern, market formed bearish impulse inside wave A. It looks like right now Index is finishing zigzag pattern inside wave B. In the near term, instrument is expected to move downwards inside wave C of (2).

Crude Oil

Probably, Oil continues forming the third wave. On minor wave level, price is being corrected. I’m planning to open sell order right after instrument starts falling down inside wave [3].

More detailed wave structure is shown on H1 chart. Probably, price formed wedge pattern inside wave (A). In the near term, Silver is expected to complete local correction and start moving upwards inside wave (C) of [2].

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!

Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

 

 

 

 

Forex Technical Analysis 12.05.2014 (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/RUB, GOLD)

Article By RoboForex.com

Analysis for May 12th, 2014

EUR USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

Euro is still moving inside descending structure, which may be considered as correction with just one descending impulse at the moment. We think, today price may return to level of 1.3867 and then form another descending structure inside this correction towards level of 1.3700. Later, in our opinion, instrument may start forming wider consolidation channel.

GBP USD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

Pound reached its target and broke ascending channel. We think, today price may return to level of 1.6915. Later, in our opinion, instrument may continue this correction; next target is at level of 1.6740.

USD CHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

Franc formed one ascending impulse. We think, today price may correct this impulse towards level of 0.8787. Later, in our opinion, instrument may start forming wide consolidation channel and then reversal pattern to continue moving upwards. Target is at level of 0.8955.

USD JPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

Yen broke minimum of its descending impulse and right now is still forming consolidation channel. We think, today price may break minimums and reach level of 101.00. Later, in our opinion, instrument may return to level of 102.00.

AUD USD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

Australian Dollar is forming the first descending impulse towards level of 0.9340. Later, in our opinion, instrument may return to level of 0.9360 and then continue moving downwards to reach level of 0.9200.

USD RUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

Ruble is still forming ascending structure and returning to level of 35.40. After reaching it, price may form another descending structure towards target at level of 34.70 and thus complete this descending wave. Later, in our opinion, instrument may form reversal pattern to start new ascending wave towards level of 37.50.

XAU USD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold expanded its consolidation channel downwards and right now is forming another ascending impulse, which may continue up to level of 1300. Later, in our opinion, instrument may return to level of 1290 and then start another ascending wave to reach level of 1320.

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!

Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.