What to Expect from the Forex Market Next Week 8 – 13 September

Article by Investazor.com

The week that just has passed, brought some high volatility on the Forex market, especially in the second part. The ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMIs from the United States surprised with above expectations readings. Draghi has left the door open for a new cut of the interest rate and the Non-Farm Payrolls have disappointed with a lower number than expected.

DateCurrencyForecastPrevious
MonSep 9NZDManufacturing Sales q/q0.20%
JPYCurrent Account0.32T0.65T
JPYFinal GDP q/q1.00%0.60%
JPYBank Lending y/y2.00%
JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y-0.30%-0.30%
AUDANZ Job Advertisements m/m-1.10%
AUDHome Loans m/m2.20%2.70%
CNYCPI y/y2.60%2.70%
CNYPPI y/y-1.70%-2.30%
CNYTrade Balance20.3B17.8B
CNYNew Loans731B700B
CNYM2 Money Supply y/y14.60%14.50%
JPYConsumer Confidence44.343.6
CHFUnemployment Rate3.20%3.20%
JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment53.852.3
CHFRetail Sales y/y3.20%2.30%
EURSentix Investor Confidence-4-4.9
CADBuilding Permits m/m4.40%-10.30%
USDConsumer Credit m/m12.7B13.8B
TueSep 10GBPRICS House Price Balance38%36%
JPYMonetary Policy Meeting Minutes
JPYTertiary Industry Activity m/m-0.40%-0.30%
JPYM2 Money Stock y/y3.80%3.70%
AUDMI Inflation Expectations2.30%
AUDNAB Business Confidence-3
JPY30-y Bond Auction1.79|4.1
CNYFixed Asset Investment ytd/y20.20%20.10%
CNYIndustrial Production y/y9.90%9.70%
CNYRetail Sales y/y13.30%13.20%
JPYPrelim Machine Tool Orders y/y-12.10%
EURFrench Industrial Production m/m0.70%-1.40%
GBPBOE Credit Conditions Survey
USDNFIB Small Business Index94.894.1
CADHousing Starts190K193K
USDJOLTS Job Openings3.96M3.94M
WedSep 11JPYBSI Manufacturing Index7.25
JPYCGPI y/y2.30%2.20%
AUDWestpac Consumer Sentiment3.50%
EURFrench Final Non-Farm Payrolls q/q-0.20%-0.20%
EURGerman Final CPI m/m0.00%0.00%
GBPClaimant Count Change-21.2K-29.2K
GBPAverage Earnings Index 3m/y1.30%2.10%
GBPUnemployment Rate7.80%7.80%
EURGerman 10-y Bond Auction1.80|1.3
GBPCB Leading Index m/m-0.20%
USDWholesale Inventories m/m0.30%-0.20%
USDCrude Oil Inventories-1.8M
GBPMPC Member Miles Speaks
USD10-y Bond Auction2.62|2.5
ThuSep 12NZDOfficial Cash Rate2.50%2.50%
NZDRBNZ Press Conference
NZDRBNZ Rate Statement
NZDRBNZ Monetary Policy Statement
JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m2.50%-2.70%
AUDEmployment Change10.2K-10.2K
AUDUnemployment Rate5.80%5.70%
NZDREINZ HPI m/m-0.50%
EURGerman WPI m/m0.20%-0.30%
EURFrench CPI m/m0.50%-0.30%
EURECB Monthly Bulletin
EURItalian Industrial Production m/m0.30%0.30%
EURIndustrial Production m/m-0.10%0.70%
GBPInflation Report Hearings
EURItalian 10-y Bond Auction
GBP10-y Bond Auction2.58|1.8
CADNHPI m/m0.20%0.20%
USDUnemployment Claims332K323K
USDImport Prices m/m0.60%0.20%
USDNatural Gas Storage58B
USD30-y Bond Auction3.65|2.1
USDFederal Budget Balance-155.3B-97.6B
FriSep 13NZDBusiness NZ Manufacturing Index59.5
NZDFPI m/m0.50%
JPYRevised Industrial Production m/m3.20%3.20%
CHFPPI m/m0.20%0.00%
EUREmployment Change q/q-0.20%-0.50%
EURTrade Balance15.3B14.9B
EURECOFIN Meetings
EUREurogroup Meetings
CADCapacity Utilization Rate81.30%81.10%
USDCore Retail Sales m/m0.30%0.50%
USDPPI m/m0.20%0.00%
USDRetail Sales m/m0.50%0.20%
USDCore PPI m/m0.20%0.10%
USDPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment82.682.1
USDPrelim UoM Inflation Expectations3.00%
USDBusiness Inventories m/m0.40%0.00%

As you can see, on Monday the most important events will be the Chinese CPI and Trade Balance, as well as the Canadian Building Permits. On Tuesday China will report its Industrial Production which could trigger volatility on the currency pairs which includes the Australian Dollar. Wednesday Great Britain will publish the Claimant Count Change and the Unemployment Rate. On 12th of September New Zealand will release its Official Cash Rate and the RBNZ will have a press conference, Australia will release the Unemployment Rate and the Employment Change and the USA will release the Unemployment Claims for the week. The last day of the week will bring on the table the Core Retail Sales, PPI and the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment for the United States.

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