Microsoft Stocks Boosted By Cloud Gains

By HY Markets Forex Blog

Stocks for the IT multinational cooperation, Microsoft exceeded market’ estimates in the January-March quarter on Thursday; while profit dropped lower than expected, driven by the strong sales in the cloud-computing division.

Net earnings came in at $5.66 billion in the fiscal third quarter of the year, according Microsoft. However, the first profit slid 6% year-on-year on GAAP basis.

Microsoft revenues were at $20.49 billion, beating the consensus estimates of $20.38 billion.”This quarter’s results demonstrate the strength of our business, as well as the opportunities we see in a mobile-first, cloud-first world. We are making good progress in our consumer services like Bing and Office 365 Home, and our commercial customers continue to embrace our cloud solutions. Both position us well for long-term growth,” said Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft. “We are focused on executing rapidly and delivering bold, innovative products that people love to use.”

Consumer and devices revenue climbed 12% higher to $8.30 billion, while the IT cooperation’s commercial revenue rose by 7% to $12.23 billion.

“Our products and services continue to deliver differentiated business value to our customers, and we continue to win share in areas like cloud services, data platform, and infrastructure management,” said Kevin Turner, chief operating officer at the company. “Our SQL Server business grew double-digits again this quarter, and with the announcements of SQL 2014 and Power BI for Office 365, we offer a unique, comprehensive, end-to-end data and analytics solution.”

The upbeat results sent Microsoft stocks higher, as it climbed 2.5% to $40.9 per share on the Nasdaq.

 

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Stocks Market Review 25th April

By HY Markets Forex Blog

Stocks in the Asian region were seen mixed on the last trading day, as the crises in Ukraine continues to escalate and investors weighed on the upbeat inflation data and corporate earnings from Japan.

Ukraine

On Thursday, the US Secretary of State John Kerry said Russia was on the edge of facing further sanctions from the Western nations if the country doesn’t ease tensions in Ukraine. The agreement on disarming rebels signed on April 17 in Geneva by Russia, Ukraine, the US and the European Union is on the verge of falling apart.

Meanwhile, forces from Ukraine killed up to five pro-Russian separatists, while Russia started army drills close to the border, increasing fears over the crises.

Stocks – Asia

In Japan, stocks were trading in between gains and losses, after figures for the country’s consumer inflation came in at a 22-year high in April, indicating Japan’s economy was growing from its delayed period of deflation. Core consumer prices in Tokyo climbed 2.7% higher in April, the fastest gain since 1992.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March was at 1.6%, meeting in line with analysts’ forecast, up from the previous reading of 1.5%.

The Japanese benchmark Nikkei 225 gained 0.17% to 14,429.26, while Tokyo’s broader Topix index added 0.44% to close at 1,169.99. Fuji Electric saw the most gains on the Nikkei 225 as it climbed 9.7%. While the pharmaceutical supplier, Terumo Corporation slid 5.2% lower.

In China, the Hong Kong Hang Seng index lost 1.55% to 22,213 at the time of writing, while the mainland Shanghai Composite fell 1.00% to close at 2,036.52 at the same time.

Meanwhile, South Korea’s Kospi index shed 1.3% lower at 1,971.66. Markets in Australia and New Zealand are closed for holiday.

Stocks – Europe

European stocks were seen falling on Friday, while US index futures were a little changed.

The Euro Stoxx 50 dropped 0.59% to 3,171.024, while the German DAX fell 0.73% to 9,478.06 at the time of writing. At the same time the French CAC 40 declined 0.34% to 4,464.27, while UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 lost 0.31% to 6,682.11.

Sweden’s truck-maker giants, Volvo lost 1.5% to 101.90 kronor. The company said first-quarter operating profit rose to 2.29 billion Swedish crowns from 496 million seen a year ago.

 

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Putin is Losing Eastern European Energy Gamble

By OilPrice.com

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he doesn’t think the European community can do without the natural gas it gets from energy monopoly Gazprom. With a Russian economy starting to decline, however, it may be Gazprom that’s too strongly interconnected to the European market to break free.

The narrative over European energy security reaches at least back to 2006 when Gazprom first cut gas supplies through Ukraine. The fallout from the latest disruption in 2009 put opposition darling and former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko in prison, but now the tables have turned for a Ukraine tilting more strongly toward the European Union.

Last week, Putin warned European leaders that gas supplies through Ukraine may be cut if Kiev didn’t settle its $2.2 billion gas debt to Gazprom. With European allies mulling the best way to break Russia’s grip on the region’s energy sector, Putin said there are few alternatives to Russian natural gas.

“Can they stop buying Russian gas?” he asked in a question-and-answer session this week. “In my opinion it is impossible.”

Russia sends about 15 percent of its natural gas supplies bound for the European community through the Soviet-era transit network in Ukraine. The European energy market has options in Caspian gas waiting in the wings, and potentially liquefied natural gas deliveries, though those alternatives provide little short-term relief.

U.S. State Department spokeswoman Marie Harf warned Putin against using energy as a geopolitical tool in a crisis that’s re-opened old Cold War wounds.

“We’ve said very clearly that Russia should not use this as a weapon and that, actually, Russia has a lot to lose if they try to do so,” she said.

Before the situation erupted into one of the most severe Eastern European crises since the 1990s, the Kremlin had expected 2.5 percent growth in gross domestic product. Now, Economic Development Minister Alexei Ulyukayev said GDP growth should be “near zero” and the Ukrainian row may be to blame.

Trade in oil and natural gas nets Russia about 70 percent of the estimated $515 billion in export revenue and accounts for more than half its federal budget. Though Gazprom has sought entry to a growing Asian economy, most of its natural gas heads to the European market, meaning Putin’s Russia may be as strongly linked to the EU as the EU is linked to the Kremlin.

Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov said the economic situation in the country in part depends on how the Ukrainian crisis plays out. The World Bank, he said, expects 1 percent economic growth for Russia this year. The view from the Kremlin, however, is much more pessimistic. With both Russia and the European community interconnected by natural gas, the relationship may remain intact despite the rhetoric from both sides of the lowering Iron Curtain.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/Europe/Putin-is-Losing-Eastern-European-Energy-Gamble.html

By. Daniel J. Graeber of Oilprice.com

 

 

 

 

Wave Analysis 25.04.2014 (DJIA Index, Crude Oil)

Article By RoboForex.com

Analysis for April 25th, 2014

DJIA Index

Chart structure has been changed. It looks like Index formed bullish impulse inside wave (1) and then started correction. In the near term, price is expected to finish the second wave and start growing up inside the third one.

More detailed wave structure is shown on H1 chart. Probably, wave (2) is taking the form of zigzag pattern with wave C being completed inside it. Possibly, market may start forming initial bullish impulse during the day.

Crude Oil

Current chart structure implies that Oil may continue falling down inside the third wave. Earlier price formed bearish impulse inside wave 1. Market may break minimum of this wave in the beginning of the next week.

As we can see at the H1 chart, instrument is forming extension inside the third wave. Yesterday I opened sell order during correction. I’ll move stop into the black as soon as bears break minimum.

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

 

 

 

 

Forex Technical Analysis 25.04.2014 (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/RUB, GOLD)

Article By RoboForex.com

Analysis for April 25th, 2014

EUR USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

Euro is trying to return to level of 1.3857. After reaching it, price may start forming another descending structure with predicted target at level of 1.3750. During this descending movement, pair is expected to form continuation pattern, which may help us to specify the target.

GBP USD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

Pound is moving upwards and may reach level of 1.6820. Later, in our opinion, instrument may start falling down to return to level of 1.6756, move upwards to reach level of 1.6905, and then start more serious correction.

USD CHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

Franc is falling down towards level of 0.8800. After reaching it, price may form ascending structure to reach level of 0.8880 and then return to level of 0.8830.

USD JPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

Yen completed correction with target at level of 102.15. We think, today price may move upwards to reach level of 103.10 and then continue falling down inside descending trend towards level of 100.00.

AUD USD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

Australian Dollar is extending its five-wave descending structure. We think, today price may consolidate and form reversal pattern to start new correction towards level of 0.9370.

USD RUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

Ruble continues moving upwards. We think, today price may reach level of 35.82. Later, in our opinion, instrument may form another descending structure towards level of 34.78 and then continue growing up to reach level of 36.60.

XAU USD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold reached new minimum and completed ascending impulse. We think, today price may form descending correction towards level of 1238 and then continue forming another ascending wave with target at level of 1357.

RoboForex Analytical Department

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

 

 

 

 

 

The End of Comcast’s Disgraceful Reign?

By WallStreetDaily.com The End of Comcast’s Disgraceful Reign?

I don’t believe in the devil, but then again…

Every time I have the misfortune of speaking to a Comcast “customer service” agent, it forces me to reconsider.

My latest encounter concerned an “internal audit” that Comcast (CMCSA) said it recently performed on my account.

During its “audit,” Comcast discovered that I was receiving “too many channels.”

Not to worry, I was told…

Comcast apologized for its error, and then told me I could keep the channels by simply paying more money.

Gee, thanks!

It turns out that Wall Street Daily’s Editor-in-Chief was on the bad side of the very same “audit.” As were plenty of other folks around the country.

(Unsurprisingly, The Consumerist just awarded Comcast its “Worst Company in America” award.)

What just happened is symptomatic of a bigger problem. That is, an industry behemoth having too much leverage over its customers.

It flies in the face of free-market capitalism, right?
Well, an upstart company called Aereo could bring the entire cable industry to its knees.

Aereo has been intercepting TV broadcast signals and sending them to the public for only $8 per month.

The company is being sued by the cable industry, with a Supreme Court decision expected in June.

Along with the ruling comes a classic low-risk/high-reward investment opportunity.

You might consider buying a few Comcast 2014 $52.50 put options, since the cost is so nominal. Those puts would pay off big if the Supreme Court rules in Aereo’s favor.

Capitol Hill Daily’s Editor-in-Chief, Christopher Eutaw, is closer to this storyline than anyone else.

Interested in cutting your cable provider out of the equation? As Chris reveals, you won’t believe what Aereo is doing!

 

wistiaEmbed = Wistia.embed(“hi0zuxvsud”, { videoFoam: true});

Onward and Upward,

Robert Williams,
Founder, Wall Street Daily

Transcript:

Robert Williams: Hi there, Robert Williams here, Founder of Wall Street Daily. I have in the studio with me Christopher Eutaw of Capital Hill Daily. Christopher just broke a fascinating story on what’s happening in the cable industry recently, and I wanted to get his take on it. Chris, get us up to speed on what’s happening right now and why this is important for our readers to understand.

Christopher Eutaw: Okay. There’s a case in the Supreme Court right now between a company called Aereo Inc. – that uses antennas to stream over-the-air television to users – and they’re being sued by the four major networks: ABC, NBC, Fox, and CBS.

RW: Okay. Well tell us what exactly does this company Aereo do, Chris?

CE: They’re using small antenna farms to rebroadcast over-the-air television from the major networks. Users pay a subscription fee to get shows streamed to their devices.

RW: Okay. So if I understand you correctly, you don’t need the cable company if you have an account with Aereo, Chris – is that right? And how much does this monthly access cost?

CE: That’s correct. For $8 a month Aereo will broadcast all network television to you, streaming over any device.

RW: Does this include channels like HBO and Showtime? What channels are we talking about that you can access for $8 a month with this company, Aereo?

CE: It does not include things like HBO, Showtime, ESPN. But it does include anything that would be on ABC, NBC, Fox, CBS, or PBS.

RW: Do you need an antenna or cable box or anything like that? Do they have satellites? What are they doing?

CE: You don’t need any equipment. Aereo promotes itself as an equipment rental company, essentially. They use their own satellite forums to capture over-the-air television and stream it to you.

RW: Okay. Now they’re being sued by Comcast or the cable industry as a whole?

CE: By a conglomerate of the cable networks as a whole.

RW: Chris, sounds like a classic David and Goliath. This has gone all the way to the Supreme Court, correct?

CE: That’s correct. Aereo won a ruling at a lower court level, and it’s now in the Supreme Court. And they heard arguments on Tuesday.

RW: Chris, what would it mean if the cable industry were to lose this Supreme Court judgment?

CE: It would be a significant blow to the cable industry. The networks would lose perhaps billions of dollars in revenue from rebroadcasting fees, which other services have to pay them in order to rebroadcast their programming. But Aereo essentially skirted around the law that forces them to pay rebroadcasting fees.

RW: Okay. So there may be a short-term trading opportunity ahead of this Supreme Court judgment, Chris? What’s the timeframe? When are we expecting a decision by the Supreme Courts, and I’m just gonna cut right to it, which way do you think this is gonna fall, ’cause it sounds pretty big?

CE: Yeah, well the Supreme Court decision’s coming in June, perhaps in early June. And at this point it’s hard to tell which way it’s gonna fall. The two sides are very closely contested. But if the networks were to lose this case, it would be a huge blow to revenue for them. Comcast in particular would take a blow as both a proprietor and the owner of NBC, so they could look to take a big hit if the networks lost this case.

RW: And what’s the timeframe on the decision?

CE: It’s early June 2014.

RW: Chris, you’re probably closer to this story than anybody. I want to just kind of pin you down on this. Are we talking 50/50? What are the odds that Aereo can win this case?

CE: Well you know normally in this situation the big guy is gonna win this case, and that would be the networks. However, Aereo is in kind of a unique position. In the way they’ve interpreted the copyright law, that would make it so that an Aereo win would not be shocking at all. I’d say 50/50 right now.

RW: There you go. You just heard it from Christopher Eutaw of Capitol Hill Daily. Chris is closer to this story than I think anyone else. If any additional information comes to light ahead of this critical Supreme Court decision, you’ll hear about it first here at Wall Street Daily. I’m Robert Williams.

The post The End of Comcast’s Disgraceful Reign? appeared first on Wall Street Daily.

Article By WallStreetDaily.com

Original Article: The End of Comcast’s Disgraceful Reign?

Fiji holds rate, will change if challenge to twin targets

By CentralBankNews.info
    Fiji’s central bank held its benchmark Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) steady at 0.5 percent, saying the outlook for foreign reserves and inflation remain stable at the moment but it would “re-align monetary policy if in its assessment there are challenges to its twin objectives.”
    The Reserve Bank of Fiji, which earlier today revised upwards its 2014 economic growth forecast to 3.8 percent from a previous 3.0 percent, has held its OPR rate steady since November 2011.
    In March Fiji’s inflation rate fell to minus 0.2 percent from 0.2 percent in February, largely due to basis effects and the impact of free primary and secondary education that was built into consumer prices  last month, the bank said.
    As of April 24, Fiji’s foreign reserves were US$ 1.652 billion, or enough to cover 4.4 months of imports.
    In 2013 Fiji’s Gross Domestic Product expanded by 3.6 percent, up from 2.2 percent in 2012.

    http://ift.tt/1iP0FNb

Fiji revises upward 2014 growth forecast to 3.8%

By CentralBankNews.info
    Fiji’s central bank raised its 2014 growth forecast to 3.8 percent from its November forecast of 3.0 percent due to higher than expected fiscal stimulus and revised economic data.
    Barry Whiteside, governor of the Reserve Bank of Fiji, said the outlook for 2014 growth is forecast to be broad-based and all sectors except for fishing and aquaculture are expected to expand.
    “If the 2014 growth projection is realized, this will be the firth consecutive year of positive growth, an achievement last recorded between 1992 and 1996,” Whiteside said in a statement.
    Fiji’s growth in 2013 is estimated at 3.6 percent and the longer-term growth projections for 2015 and 2016 remain unchanged at 2.4 percent, the central bank said.
    The central bank’s previous forecast from November was based on Gross Domestic Product data based on a 2005 base while the new forecast is based on a 2008 base, which includes new sectors and a change to the weighting of various sectors.
    Fiji’s central bank has maintained its overnight policy rate at 0.5 percent since November 2011.

    http://ift.tt/1iP0FNb

An Unexpected Source of ‘Cheap’ Stocks

By MoneyMorning.com.au

Keep your eyes on the government, they say. If the Chinese government decides to provide even the tiniest support through fiscal means or monetary means, the market would rally.

True in the past, but not this time!

Why? Because Hu (the ex–president) and Wen (the ex–premier) are gone!

Here’s a little history…

Just look at 2009 and 2012. 2009 saw the biggest stimulus package in Chinese economic history. It drove both the property market and secondary industries to even higher levels of hysteria.

This effectively ended the ‘market restructuring’ effort in 2008 (which was aimed at reducing overcapacity and depressing property prices). So this isn’t the first time the government has tried to balance the market (in fact, they have been trying to do it for over 15 years; starting from the time of Deng Xiaoping).

So for the next three years after 2009, the Chinese market became more unbalanced, until a double dip hit the scene.

What did the Chinese government do in response? They lowered interest rates and they provided subsidies to almost all oversupplied industries. Needless to say, this led to another round of production growth, which delayed market rebalancing.

By the time Xi Jinping took over, people were totally sick of the then Chinese premier Wen Jiaobao (Hu Jintao hardly appeared in press conferences, so people knew he was a weakling).

The western press proved to have great timing, with a number of special investigative reports on Wen and Xi’s massive family assets (including overseas assets). The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg were both banned in China as a result.

Oh how they (the Chinese people) hated the Chinese leadership! So, in a big going–away gesture, Hu ‘unleashed’ China’s first aircraft carrier, which had been only a rumour for many years.

However, some of us in China knew the government was building it. I could see it in Dalian’s port from my hotel when I was there!

The new president, Xi, is supposed to fix all these problems.

This is why you shouldn’t count on any huge stimulus. Everybody has been frustrated for so long over the inaction of the last government that they aren’t going to make the same mistake. People are simply fed up!

All you need to look at is money supply. Money supply has been decelerating sharply since mid–2013. You see a policy–induced slowdown in the demand for credit in properties and secondary industries.

While secondary industries have not felt much direct policy influence from Beijing, they have certainly been left alone to sort out their own mess (apart from some provincial level deals to relieve their financial strains).

That brings us to the issue of China’s banks…

Are Chinese banks a good buy?

If the money supply growth is slowing, does that mean trouble for China’s banks? And if so, does it make sense to short–sell China’s banks? After all, banking is the business of supplying money.

China’s banks have stayed cheap for some time. Institutional investors have always been fond of them. Flit through a few fund reports and you will find that their top holdings are Chinese banks; and a significant proportion of their portfolios are in Chinese financials.

So on a value basis, what do these banks offer?

Good historical revenue growth; good historical EPS (earnings per share) growth; high profit margin; great return on equity; good dividend yield; low leverage.

So this sounds like a screaming buy! That’s arguably the position of funds, usually investing in value stocks.

However, Chinese banks have underperformed the All Ordinaries in the last few years. So why would you invest in them?

You probably need to take a step back when looking at these banking stocks, and remember that advanced country (equity) indices have been supported by easy money. The additional capital that has gone into indebted advanced economies took the forms of both debt and equity. A significant amount of that flew out of those countries and found home in high rating, high interest rate and stable economies such as Australia. The sentiment effect cannot be neglected as well.

How about China’s credit system? Since Fitch’s rating change and a whole wave of credit system risk warnings from banks and funds, China’s credit woes have been in the spotlight. Recent news with a corporate bond default and money market rate fluctuations seem to confirm some of the fears. This has undermined support for banking stock prices.

It’s true that China’s provincial level debt has hit a brick wall, simply because their financing mechanism is unsustainable. However, China’s ‘visible’ debt to GDP number has been improving, now forecasted to be 22.3%. Its credit rating at AA– (S&P), Aa3 (Moody’s) is sound.

This rating is defined by S&P as follows: ‘An obligor rated ‘AA’ has very strong capacity to meet its financial commitments. It differs from the highest–rated obligors by only a small degree.

From the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC — China’s central bank) own presentations in a conference, I could clearly see that they are well aware of the shadow banking risk — and we are seeing good progress against that.

There has been tightening of banking credit qualities; tightening of banking credit volume; and curbs on real estate financing. From my friends who run shadow banking operations in China, they are definitely affected by the policy push, and are switching to products aimed at small to medium enterprises. This is exactly where the PBOC wants them to be.

China’s debt is going to grow. There is no doubt about that. Financing China’s next phase of urbanisation requires provincial level financing to be worked out, through municipal bonds, corporate bonds and other bond products.

China’s banks aren’t going to collapse due to a potential collapse in the system. Their bad debt coverage is fine; their product types are simple with limited securitisation; and ‘the big brother’ is very watchful of risks in the banking sector.

Simply put, despite the mostly negative view on Chinese banks in the market, at these price levels you should have a great run with Chinese banks.

Ken Wangdong
Emerging Markets Analyst, Money Morning

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By MoneyMorning.com.au

Did Someone Know about Flight 370 before It Disappeared?

By MoneyMorning.com.au

As regards economics and markets, and when events happen around the world, one of the best things you can do is always go back to the chart, if one exists. Charts tell a story. 

And if you’ve ever seen many of the examples the great trader WD Gann gives in all his books, there is one thing you will learn. And it’s the only thing that surprises a market is an earthquake. Markets know things before it is public news — always. 

This is why we traders buy breaks across new highs, or short–sell breaks into new lows, especially along a line–up of past tops (or bottoms). When a share breaks into new highs, let me tell you, the market knows good news is coming. If the company has earnings, such breaks will generally run for some time and persist often for years. 

So have a look at the Malaysian Airline System (MAS) charts, listed on the Malaysian stock exchange. I’ve taken one from Bloomberg and the other Yahoo.

Now MAS has been in a downtrend since the best part of 2008, and fell 18% after flight 370 went missing, March 9th. But you can see a clear break into all time new lows, Feb 19th, on substantially increased volume. In other words, markets discounting future news. The actual event itself was the low. 

I find that quite significant. To give you an idea I can show you similar charts in September 2001. Somebody(s) knew 9/11 was coming as well, enough to affect the relevant parts of the markets involved. 

Here’s just two examples…

The chart of MAS indicates the possibility of a prior knowledge of events to come as regards Malaysia Airline Systems; more will come out about it in due course. 

We may never get to the bottom of it though, because this would involve the release of sensitive military data from one (hostile) nation to another, and this is never going to happen. Plus there will be reputations to protect.

And Malaysia is not particularly a bastion of openness. Regardless, watch developments; they will unfold in set counts from the date of the flight disappearance, March 9th, and probably the MAS chart itself. 

When things happen, get into the habit of consulting your charts. You must learn how to read a chart; you will find it a very useful skill. 

Phil Anderson,
Contributing Editor, Money Morning

Ed Note: The above article was originally published in The Daily Reckoning.

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