USDCAD is facing the resistance of the upper line of the price channel on 4-hour chart. As long as the channel resistance holds, the price action from 0.9824 is treated as consolidation of the downtrend from 1.0055 (Nov 16, 2012 high), and the downtrend could be expected to resume after touching the channel resistance. Support is at 0.9900, a breakdown below this level will indicate that a cycle top has been formed at 0.9946, and the downtrend from 1.0055 has resumed, then further decline towards 0.9700 could be seen. On the upside, a clear break above the channel resistance will indicate that the downtrend from 1.0055 had completed at 0.9815 already, then the following upward movement could bring price to 1.0200 zone.
