Central Bank News Link List – Sept 10, 2012: Central bankers meet in Basel

By Central Bank News

Here’s today’s Central Bank News link list, click through if you missed the previous link list. The list comprises news about central banks that is not covered by Central Bank News. The list is updated during the day with the latest developments so readers don’t miss any important news.

Franc Records a Weekly Drop against the Euro

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox.com (Dublin) – The Swiss Franc dropped to its lowest level against the euro in almost eight months after the European Central Bank rolled out its bond purchasing program, reducing the need for safer assets. The franc registered a weekly drop against the 17-nation currency after data from the Swiss National Bank showed that the foreign reserves surged by the slowest pace in August, signaling that there is less need for interventions to weaken the currency further. Economists have also construed this as an indication that debt crisis in the euro region is softening. The SNB introduced a cap on the franc at 1.20 per euro in September last year to help boost exports in the country.

Bernd Berg, a Currency Strategist in Zurich at Credit Suisse Group AG, said that the decision to establish a bond buying program takes away the tail risks from the euro region hence speculators who are basing their bets on the floor are getting squeezed out of the safe haven position of the franc. The ECB President Mario Draghi announced the bond-purchase plan last week, where he indicated that the plan would focus on government bonds with maturities of a maximum of three years. The plan will only be available in the secondary market to countries that have asked for aid from the bailout fund.

A report last week from the Swiss National Bank indicated that its foreign-currency reserves expanded to 418.4 billion francs by the end of last month, up from 408.6 billion in July. Raghav Subbarao who is a Foreign Exchange Strategist at Barclays Plc in London, indicated that the increase is significantly lower than the previous three months hence signaling less pressure on the SNB to defend its cap.

The Swiss Franc dropped by 0.4 percent against the euro to trade at 1.2093 per euro on Friday, after depreciating to a low of 1.2155, the weakest it has been since January 9.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

Forex news – Monthly review- 10.09.2012

Forex Daily review brought to you by REAL FOREX | www.Real-forex.com

EUR/USD

Weekly chart

Last Weekly review

Eventually the 1.2290 price level was used as a strong support and we can see that the price has continued towards its closest target on the 1.2580 resistance level which is also used as a 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the last downtrend (blue broken line) and as a dynamic resistance area (the lower lip of the descending price channel which is marked in red broken lines). Breaching of the mentioned followed by the 1.2680 price level (located in the same area) will indicate that the price will continue towards the next resistance on the 1.2910 price level. On the other hand, stoppage of the price at the current area and its descending under the 1.2290 price level will probably lead the price towards the last low on the 1.2042 price level.
 
Current review for today
The price has broken the 1.2580 resistance level in addition to the upper lip of the descending price channel (red broken lines), the price has done that with a significant green candle, that shows the buyers strength. It is possible to assume that the price is making its way towards the closest resistance on the 1.2910 price level, while a stoppage in this area might create a technical correction in size of between a third and two thirds of the current uptrend which started on the 1.2042 price level.
 
You can see the chart below:
forex news eur/usd
 
 
Daily chart
Last Weekly review
It is possible to see that the price has corrected the whole last downtrend (blue broken line) by 38.2% by Fibonacci retracement towards the 1.2594 price level, while the red broken line is the upper lip of the descending tunnel from the weekly review and used as a dynamic resistance area. In addition it is possible to see that the current uptrend which started on the 1.2067 price level is going into a shrinking ascending price channel that its target is breaking of the lower lip while correcting the ascending move which happened inside. All those are showing the possibility of a stoppage of the current uptrend in case of a change in the direction of the price towards the last low on the 1.2067 price level. On the other hand, we can see that currently the price is climbing with an ascending price structure and while it stays this way, the targets of the price will be the 1.2692, 1.2750, 1.2824 price levels in this order.
 
Current review for today
As it was written in the last review, during the last sharp ascending move, the price has reached its targets while it is reaching its last one on the 1.2824 price level, a minor resistance level, right now. Breaching this level will probably lead the price towards the 1.2939 price level which is a 61.8% Fibonacci correction level of the downtrend marked in blue broken line, in addition this level is a significant resistance level that can be seen in the weekly chart. On the other hand, stoppage in the current area and a descend of the price under the lower lip of the ascending price channel (black broken lines), it will be possible that the rice will perform a correction in size of between a third and two thirds of the uptrend which started on the 1.2290 price level.
 
You can see the chart below:
forex news eur/usd 
 

GBP/USD

Weekly chart
Last Weekly review
The price has breached the 1.5778 upper ranging level and we can see that on the last candle the price has checked if this level can switch roles and function as a support (it can be better seen on the daily chart), followed an ascending move once the check was done. Breaching of the 1.5778 price level is breaching the neckline of the “One in, one out” pattern (blue broken lines), while its target is the next resistance on the 1.6170 price level. Only breaking of the 1.5778 price level will stall the current uptrend while it is possible to see a technical correction of the uptrend which started around the 1.5400 area.
 
Current review for today
Breaching the upper ranging lip on the 1.5778 price level gave the sign for the beginning of the uptrend which is taking place for the second week in a row, while the target of the price is exactly the next resistance on the 1.6170 price level, a level which is also the target of the “One in, one out” pattern (blue broken lines), In addition, it is possible to see that this level is located on the descending trend line between the peaks (red broken line) which is also used as a dynamic support. It is possible that from this point we will see a technical correction to the uptrend which started on the 1.5270 price level.
 
You can see the chart below:
forex news gbp/usd 
 
Daily chart
Last Weekly review
The price has breached the 1.5737 resistance level and reached the 1.5906 by doing a sharp move upwards. At this stage the price has stopped and went down to check the 1.5784 support level (from the weekly chart review) while on the last day of the week, the price has climbed and currently located on the 1.5906 last peak level. Breaching of this level will probably lead the price to complete the “One in, one out” pattern target (blue broken lines), on the 1.6015 price level. Only breaking of the price on the ascending trend line which is connecting the lows will change this assumption.
 
Current review for today
The price has reached the “One in, one out” on the 1.6015 price level as it was written in last week review. The next resistance on the 1.6070 price level is located pretty close while its breaking will probably lead the price towards the last peak on the 1.6300 price level. On the other hand, stoppage of the price at the current area and the creation of a descending price structure will send the price to a technical correction of the uptrend which started on the 1.5400 price level.
 
You can see the chart below:
 forex news gbp/usd

US Labor Market Disappoints as Speculation of Additional Easing Rose

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox.com (Dublin) – Speculation that Federal Reserve Chairman will move to have his stimulus package accepted in the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting this week increased after a report from the US Labor department indicated that employment is growing at a slower pace than expected. Brain Jacobsen indicated that the report triggers the FOMC to act sooner than later as the data does not point to substantial improvement. Jacobsen also predicted that the FOMC will hold interest rate close to zero through to late 2014.

According to a Labor Department’s report released on Friday, US employers added a mere 96,000 jobs in August, down from 141,000 jobs in July. This is far lower than the market expectation of 130,000. The report also showed that the unemployment rate fell to 8.1 percent from 8.3 percent, which is against the market expectation of no change on this figure. The report also showed that 386,000 worker left the labor market either due to retirement or layoffs last month. The report triggered global stocks rally with the dollar declining as speculation of stimulus rose. The FOMC meets on September 12-13. Roberto Perli, who is a Managing Director in Washington at International Strategy & Investment Group Inc, said that the results are inconsistent with the Fed’s expectation of progress towards the natural unemployment rate, adding that the current rate will not achieve such results.

The marketing is forecasting the Fed officials to give an unemployment target of 5.2 to 6 percent when they meet this week. The FOMC will also update its economic data and Bernanke is expected to hold a press conference after the meeting. In the previous meeting, the FOMC members were unanimous is agreeing that further stimulus would be necessary unless substantial change was evident in the labor market. In a speech at Jackson Hole Wyoming conference, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke indicated that stimulus package was necessary for the US economy at this moment. According to Yelena Shulyatyeva, QE will be on the table when the FOMC meet this week.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

USD/CAD: Boosted Prospects of Fed Easing to Debilitate the Greenback

Article by AlgosysFx Forex Trading Solutions

Increased prospects for additional easing from the Federal Reserve are presumed to continue weighing on the US dollar opposite its Canadian counterpart after jobs growth in the world’s largest economy slowed considerably in August. In contrast, the Canadian jobs engine powered along during the same month, seemingly reinforcing Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney’s hawkish stance on monetary policy.

In a report that largely underscored the weakening state of the US economy, the US Labor Department disclosed that American employers added only 96,000 jobs in August, well below expectations of a 123,000 count and lower than the 141,000 rise recorded in July. The Jobless Rate did decline from 8.3 percent to 8.1 percent, but that was because 368,000 discouraged Americans left the labor force. In addition, the participation rate, which indicates the share of working-age individuals in the labor force, fell to its lowest level since September 1981. At its last meeting, the Fed’s FOMC said additional stimulus would be warranted unless a substantial and sustainable strengthening of the economy begins. Last month, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke seemingly laid out the groundwork for further action as he called unemployment a grave concern. Economists say that the soft jobs report was likely enough to convince the Fed that a looser monetary policy was needed to breathe more life into an economy. Hence, with a third round of bond purchases seemingly on the cards in this week’s Fed policy meeting, demand for the Greenback is apt to decline.

Conversely, the Canadian labor market is showing encouraging signs of strength.  The Canadian economy added 34,300 jobs in August, managing to recover all the 30,400 lost positions in July and well exceeding estimates of a 9,900 gain. The Unemployment Rate remained at 7.3 percent as more Canadian searched for jobs during the month. While analysts warn that the strength of the report is unlikely to sway the BOC to raise interest rates soon given the slowdown in the US, it still supports Governor Carney’s predisposition to withdraw stimulus should conditions warrant them.

Meanwhile, the Royal Bank of Canada projects the Canadian economy to grow by a relatively strong 2.1 percent this year as accommodative monetary policy, continued business spending, bettering labor market conditions and an improving trade balance are likely to support growth. It also predicts that the lingering downside risks are apt to diminish in the months ahead, clearing the way for the BOC to gradually hike rates next year. Amid this outlook, the Loonie is apt to be supported. As such, a short position is advised for the USD/CAD today.

For more news, analysis, technical charts and candlestick analysis, visit AlgosysFx

 

Disappointing Jobs Report Turns Dollar Bearish

Source: ForexYard

The USD tumbled on Friday, following a worse than expected Non-Farm Employment Change report that signaled a slowing down in the US economic recovery. The news increased speculations that the Fed will soon initiate a new round of quantitative easing and resulted in gains for higher yielding assets, including gold and silver. This week, traders will want to pay attention to several pieces of economic news. In particular, Thursday’s FOMC Statement has the potential to generate market volatility if the Fed announces new plans to boost the US economy.

Economic News

USD – All Eyes on Thursday’s FOMC Statement

The US dollar tumbled against virtually all of its main currency rivals on Friday, after a disappointing jobs report indicated a further slowing down in the US economic recovery. The USD/JPY fell close to 100 pips after the news was announced, eventually reaching the 78.01 level. The pair was able to stage a minor upward correction to reach 78.21 before markets closed for the weekend. Against the Swiss franc, the greenback dropped more than 140 pips during afternoon trading, eventually closing out the day at 0.9445.

This week, the dollar see further losses if the Fed decides to initiate a new round of quantitative easing to boost the US economic recovery when they meet on Thursday. In addition, traders will want to pay attention to several potentially significant US indicators set to be released over the coming days. Tuesday’s trade balance report, followed by the PPI figure on Thursday and retail sales data on Friday, could all result in the greenback extending its recent losses if they come in below their expected levels.

EUR – Euro Finishes Week on a Bullish Note

The euro was able to rally against most of its main currency rivals on Friday, after a worse than expected US jobs report caused investors to revert their funds to the common-currency. The EUR/USD shot up close to 180 pips over the course of the day and eventually closed out the week at 1.2815, its highest level since May of this year. Against the Japanese yen, the common currency gained more than 50 pips to reach a two-month high at 100.23.

Turning to this week, the euro is likely to be influenced by a batch of potentially significant US news, particularly the FOMC statement on Thursday. That being said, traders will also want to pay attention to the results of an Italian ten-year bond auction, also scheduled to take place on Thursday. Last week’s unveiling of a plan to combat the euro-zone debt crisis by the ECB led to gains for the euro. If Thursday’s auction indicates strong demand for Italian bonds, the common-currency may extend its recent bullish movement.

Gold – Gold at 6-Month High after US Jobs Report

Gold shot up to its highest level in six-months on Friday, after a disappointing US jobs report led to an increase in speculations that the Fed will soon take action to boost the US economic recovery. The precious metal traded as high as $1741.49 before markets closed for the weekend, up more than $50 an ounce for the day.

This week, gold traders will want to continue monitoring the affects US news is having on the dollar. If the greenback extends its recent bearish trend, gold could continue moving upward as it would become cheaper for international buyers to purchase. Particular attention should be given to Thursday’s FOMC statement, as it is forecasted to generate the most volatility in the marketplace.

Crude Oil – Hopes for Fed Stimulus Plan Boosts Oil

The price of crude oil was able to advance more than $2 a barrel on Friday, as hopes that the Fed will soon move in and take action to boost the US economic recovery led to risk taking in the marketplace. After falling to $94.07 during mid-day trading, crude was able to advance during the second half of the day to finish out the week at $96.33.

This week, traders should be warned that if the Fed decides not to announce a new round of quantitative easing when they meet on Thursday, crude may reverse some of its recent gains. In addition, oil traders will also want to pay attention to a US inventories report on Wednesday. Any sign of weakened demand for oil in the US could also turn the commodity bearish.

Technical News

EUR/USD

The Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart are narrowing, signaling that this pair could see a shift in price in the coming days. Furthermore, the Williams Percent Range on the same chart has crossed over into the overbought zone, indicating that the change in price could be downward. Opening short positions may be the wise choice for this pair.

GBP/USD

The daily chart’s Relative Strength Index is approaching overbought territory, signaling that a downward correction could occur in the near future. Furthermore, the Slow Stochastic on the same chart has formed a bearish cross. Going short may be the wise choice for this pair.

USD/JPY

While the weekly chart’s Williams Percent Range has dropped into oversold territory, most other long-term technical indicators show this pair range trading. Traders may want to take a wait and see approach, as a clearer picture is likely to present itself in the near future.

USD/CHF

The daily chart’s Relative Strength Index is currently in oversold territory, which indicates that this pair could see a bullish correction in the near future. Additionally, the Williams Percent Range on the weekly chart has fallen to the -90 level, giving further support to the theory of impending upward movement. Going long may be the smart choice for this pair.

The Wild Card

USD/SGD

The Relative Strength Index and Williams Percent Range on the daily chart have both crossed into the oversold zone, indicating that an upward correction could occur in the near future. Furthermore, the Slow Stochastic on the same chart appears close to forming a bullish cross. Going long may be the smart choice for forex traders today.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

 

How to Get Rich… and Not Get Taken

Article by Investment U

Last week, the SEC released a wide-ranging report on financial literacy in the U.S. And the conclusion is clear: We’re not there yet. Not even close. Yet the consequences have never been greater.

Corporate pension plans have gone the way of the Passenger Pigeon. And without serious reform, Social Security – according to that agency’s own website – will soon be done in by time and arithmetic. At the very least, the age of initial eligibility is likely to be raised dramatically in the years ahead…

To a great extent, we Americans are on our own. Yet need to understand basic financial concepts – and apply them. Yet the SEC report –and others like it – show that the vast majority aren’t ready.

A 2008 Heath and Retirement Survey concluded that most Americans “lack even a rudimentary understanding of stock and bond prices, risk diversification, portfolio choice and investment fees.” The most common response to most questions in the survey was, “Do not know.”

Ignorance Gets Really Expensive, Really Fast

It’s a shame that even good students graduate from high school today without understanding compound interest, variable-rate mortgages, Roth IRAs, what a bond is or why we have a stock market. Teachers will argue that students suffer from historical or scientific illiteracy, too. But being unable to find Spain on a map or not knowing who Michelangelo was are not going to cost you tens of thousands of dollars over your lifetime.

When it comes to money basics, ignorance gets really expensive, really fast. Yet here are just a few highlights from the new SEC report.

When asked the primary benefit of portfolio diversification, respondents were given three choices: a) risk reduction, b) increased returns, or c) reduced tax liabilities. Only 56% knew the answer was A. Then again, even if they had no idea whatsoever, respondents had a 33% chance of getting it right. The reality is that most participants didn’t even know this most basic piece of financial wisdom.

A Crying Shame…

When asked whether a young investor willing to take moderate risk for above-average growth should invest in a) Treasury bills, b) Money market funds, or c) Balanced stock funds, 63% of respondents chose the wrong answer – and even 49% of fund owners didn’t know the correct answer was C.

When asked whether a traditional IRA, a 401(k), or a Roth IRA offered withdrawals that are tax-exempt, only 44% knew the correct answer was a Roth.

This is a crying shame, especially in a country like ours where citizens are given the freedom and opportunity to pursue financial independence. Instead, too many learn the hard way, falling for the siren song of an expensive insurance agent or transaction-based broker … or committing hari-kari in a discount brokerage account.

What is the solution? Teaching basic financial literacy in every public high school in the country would be a good first step. But education reform is slow and difficult, not least of all because less than 20% of teachers polled said they felt competent to teach saving and investing.

Fortunately, Investment U exists to fill this gap. We cover everything here from the most basic principles to the most advanced strategies – and tie them into what’s happening in today’s stock, bond, currency and commodity markets.

So stick with us. We’re committed to sharing the secrets of investment success. And – since this service is free – the cost is only five minutes of your attention each day.

That’s a pretty modest trade-off for something that can mean the difference between being comfortable and secure … or being a burden to your family or a dependent of the state.

Good Investing,

Alex

P.S. At Investment U, we aim to offer a wealth of investment wisdom for free. But we also offer premium services to our readers. (How could we afford a free eletter if we didn’t?)

For instance, our Investment U Plus service offers the same newsletter you get now, PLUS specific stock recommendations from myself and our other experts along with each daily issue – for just $5. And today, I’ve clued our Plus readers into an excellent REIT paying a healthy yield. Better yet, its CEO has been buying up MILLIONS of dollars in shares, despite the stock hitting new highs. This is the just the kind of insider buying we look for…

If you’re interested in gaining this type of exclusive intelligence with each issue for a minimal cost, click here to learn more.

Article by Investment U

Don’t Expect a Black Wednesday in Denmark

Article by Investment U

George Soros made more than $1 billion in 1992 on the basic premise that something was not right. Specifically, he saw that Great Britain’s currency was about to fall apart.

Black Wednesday refers to the events of September 16, 1992, when the British government had no choice but to withdraw the pound from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) when they couldn’t keep the pound above its agreed lower limit. Soros made his $1 billion profit by shorting the British currency.

How, Exactly, Did This Happen?

Two decades ago, England had pegged its currency to Europe’s ERM. “Pegging” is a means of stabilizing a nation’s currency by fixing its exchange rate to that of another currency. The concept for pegging to a single currency becomes more attractive if the peg is to the currency of a trading partner. Usually a pegged exchange rate will have some sort of beginning target exchange rate, and the actual exchange rate will be allowed to move in a specific range around that beginning rate.

The ERM was the predecessor to the euro. It was introduced in 1979 in an attempt to reduce currency inconsistency and achieve monetary stability in Europe.

The peg was set up to create a sense of economic harmony between the island and the continent. However, Soros realized that the peg was unsustainable. The economies of Britain and the European Union were just too different.

As the British government attempted to keep up this fixed rate, the process left Britain with high interest rates and inflation.

Soros saw that maintaining this standard was in fact fighting market forces. So he took up huge short positions against the pound. The government raised its interest rates to double digits to tempt potential investors. Britain was desperate to ease the selling by pumping up buying pressure.

Amazingly, it took a while for the British government to realize that if you raise rates, you pay out more. Britain would lose billions of pounds by artificially propping up the currency. It was left with no choice but to withdraw from the ERM. The pound cracked and Soros’ short bet netted him a cool billion.

I gave you the history lesson because many pundits and investors out there believe that a similar situation is coming to fruition in Denmark. Denmark has pegged the krone to the euro and is doing some peculiar practices to keep it in place.

Extreme Pressure on the Danish Krone

Earlier this summer, the former head of Denmark’s Central Bank voiced concerns that the Danish krone was coming under intense pressure from investors seeking a safe haven currency against the euro. Nils Bernstein, the then governor of the Danish Central Bank, stated that the pressure on the krone is the worst he’s seen over his seven-year tenure as governor.

People “in the know” are aware that holding your cash in the krone is a lot safer than having euros. There’s the obvious fact that Denmark is rated “AAA,” while the Eurozone has to deal with those pesky PIIGS in the South.

These savvy investors also know that the influx of funds flowing into Danish bonds is due to the government’s slim budget deficit and current account surplus. Also, many hedge funds are taking long positions in the currency in case the euro fails.

All of this money pouring into the krone has the Danish government fighting to keep up its very narrow pegged exchange rate with the euro.

Those Crazy Danes…

In order to keep the krone pegged to the euro, Denmark’s Central Bank has been following these two curious procedures:

1) The Central Bank has cut interest rates below zero. That’s right. Interest rates are negative in Denmark to deter investors from using its currency to park money.

2) The Central Bank is selling its own currency and buying up euros. Denmark’s foreign currency reserves have more than doubled over the last four years. They hit record highs the last two consecutive months.

Red flags are being raised because it’s not natural for a nation to have negative interest rates or chose to buy a bad currency with it’s own good one. And some are seeing this as a new possible billion-dollar trade. But they may be a little too ambitious…

What to Expect Going Forward

When you take a look at all factors – especially the large flows of money coming into Denmark from those in Europe and global currency speculators – I think, as well as these investors, that the Denmark Central Bank will not continue to defend its peg to the euro forever.

The more problems the EU will face in the future, the more money that will come Denmark’s way. And it may seem a little more attractive than its fellow European safe havens. Denmark’s currency has been seen by some in the Forex world as less risky than the Swiss franc. The reason is that the Danish government has a true established peg rather than a floor in regards to the euro. This means that there is some protection in the case of a EU recovery

According to Stuart Fiertz, President of the London hedge fund Cheyne Capital, “Just because a peg has been in place a long time doesn’t mean it cannot break. It just means that it’s cheaper… If the euro cracks, the pressure to cut the peg will be overwhelming.”

If it comes to the point where Denmark will have to give up its pegged exchange rate, experts expect the krone to appreciate around 20% to 25%. That will move it in line with the other European “safe havens currencies” – like the Swiss franc and Norwegian krone – outside of the Europe Union.

I hope this shed’s a little light on the situation for you Forex traders out there…

Good Investing,

Jason

Article by Investment U

My “Boom Chip” Blueprint

Article by Investment U

I have carefully studied the success of Pacific Rim tycoons, from the world’s richest woman (from Australia) and Hong Kong’s Li Ka-Shing to Mexico’s Carlos Slim – the richest man in the world.

Some of these tycoons were born into wealth, but many come from modest backgrounds. For example, Li Ka-Shing, after his father’s death, had to leave school at the age of 14 to work 16 hours a day in a plastics factory. Slim is the son of Lebanese immigrants.

But they all share one powerful trait – they grew their fortunes by building and investing in what I call “boom chip” companies…

The best way to describe a boom chip stock is to contrast it with what is in many ways its opposite – blue-chip stocks. Blue chips are large, stable, mature companies based in Western markets with slow sales and profit growth plus dependable dividends.

One widely held blue chip is Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ). Its international sales have tripled during the past decade, but its stock has performed poorly, with an average annual return of less than 1%!

Another blue chip you’re familiar with is Kraft (Nasdaq: KFT), a bundle of blockbuster brands like Jell-O, Maxwell House, Tang, Miracle Whip and Oreos.

It’s done a bit better than JNJ…

Kraft has 12 brands generating $1 billion each year, and Tang is the most recent addition to this exclusive club. With all these killer brands aimed at emerging growth, Kraft is expected to grow revenue around 3% a year over the next three years. Not bad for a food giant.

While a stock like Johnson & Johnson or Kraft in your core portfolio is a great way to protect and incrementally grow capital, you’ll need to think a bit more boldly if your goal is to build substantial wealth.

“Be an Adventurer…”

You can put some sizzle in your portfolio by following John Train’s advice in his book Preserving Capital:

“Be an adventurer; like the American of a century ago, not his clerkish descendant of today. You must think as a builder, a conqueror.”

One way to do this is by investing in boom chip, home grown multinationals based in Pacific Rim frontier countries. These dynamic “favored” companies benefit from my Boom Chip Blueprint:

  • Durable government backing = key regulatory edge
  • Home court advantage and protected markets = much higher profit margins
  • Allied with blue-chip companies and local tycoons = clear competitive edge
  • Operate in booming markets = high and dependable growth
  • Cost advantages = bigger profits
  • Still at an early stage of their growth cycle = sustainable high growth
  • Are off the radar screen of Wall Street analysts = opportunity for value entry point

In short, “favored” boom chips offer you significant advantages, and this means big upside potential.

Let’s take a closer look at a specific example…

A Mexican Boom Chip

I’ve written before about how Mexico is on its way to replacing China as the premier Pacific Rim global manufacturing platform for selling into North and South American markets.

Why? China’s once huge advantage in labor costs is evaporating…

In 2000, Mexico’s manufacturing wages were 240% higher than in China. Now they’re only 12% higher, and given all the logistical issues and transportation costs that come with shipping parts to China and then bringing the final product back, you can easily see Mexico’s advantage.

About 80% of Mexico’s exports are manufactured goods and trade now represents 60% of GDP – a figure that has more than tripled since 1980. Mexican exports hit a record high in April of this year.

Mexico’s competitive edge is supercharged by a weak peso policy that has pushed the peso down an incredible 1,500% against the dollar since 1987 – though the peso is starting to trend upward.

This is why American, European, Japanese, South Korean and, yes, even Chinese are falling over each other to invest in Mexican production facilities. One example is the recent opening of Italian tire maker Pirelli’s first plant in Mexico.

The Real Key to Mexico’s Growth

Always keep in mind: With Mexico’s geographical edge next to two huge markets and as a Pacific Rim country, it has ready access to all Pacific Rim markets. And take a look at the big picture. While U.S. debt is approaching 90% of GDP, Mexico is at 27%. America’s budget deficit is 8.6% of GDP, while Mexico is at 2.5%.

But the real key is that the Mexican Government sees fostering growth in manufacturing as a top priority to provide employment, political stability, and the carrot to attract significant levels of foreign investment that can supercharge its economy. While the United States is also seeing a revival in manufacturing, it benefits from this shift in Mexico’s favor for strategic reasons.

Late last year, I shared with you my Grupo Simec (AMEX: SIM) boom chip play on this manufacturing trend.

Simec provides the finished steel that goes into manufacturing plants being built hand over fist by global companies taking advantage of Mexico’s edge. In 2011, sales were up 19% and operating income was up 123%. In the first quarter of 2012, Simec posted a 24% increase in net sales and a 145% jump in operating earnings. Sales within Mexico were up 33% as the company exports about half of its production. The stock is trading right around book value, at 75% of sales and at only 3.24 times forward earnings.

So far in 2012, Grupo Simec is up 48.37% while the Emerging Market Index is as flat as a pancake:

SIM vs. EEM YTD 2012

If you blend in some boom chips with your blue-chip stocks, you’ll have the opportunity to take your portfolio to the next level.

Good Investing,

Carl

Article by Investment U