USDJPY had formed a cycle bottom at 80.31

USDJPY had formed a cycle bottom at 80.31 on 4-hour chart. Further rise to test the resistance of the upper border of the downward price channel is possible later today. As long as the channel resistance holds, the rise is treated as consolidation of the downtrend from 84.17, and another fall is still possible after consolidation. On the other side, a clear break above the channel resistance will indicate that the fall from 84.17 had completed at 80.31 already, then further rise to 83.00 area could be seen.

usdjpy

Written by ForexCycle.com

Crude Oil Slides After Greater Than Expected Inventories Report

Source: ForexYard

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Crude Oil dropped during  Wednesday’s trading after U.S Supply increases more than expected, resulting in losses for the first time in three days.

Crude prices fell 1.9 percent after claims from the government that crude oil inventories climbed 3.86 million barrels last week. The crude oil inventories result took investors by surprise at it comfortably surpassed the forecast figures.The Bloomberg Survey indicated that the inventories were forecast to rise 1.8 million barrels, the result of the report shows that the actual figures were almost double that.

Oil Inventories rose to 369 million, the highest number since the last week of May of this year.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

DDMG: Don’t Buy the Hype Behind Tupac’s “Hologram”

Article by Investment U

DDMG: Don’t Buy the Hype Behind Tupac’s “Hologram”

Digital Domain Media Group (NYSE: DDMG), the company behind the CGI image of Tupac, is flashing some powerful warning signs right now. Approach with caution.

Tupac’s ghostly appearance at the Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival last weekend may have ushered in a new era of entertainment…

Imagine being able to attend a “live” performance of Jimi Hendrix, Elvis Presley, or any other fallen legend.

Such visions of the future sent Digital Domain Media Group, Inc. (NYSE: DDMG), the company behind the CGI image of Tupac, soaring more than 20% since Monday.

But make sure you do your homework before buying into the hype here. I’m not saying DDMG isn’t an intriguing company to watch going forward, but there are some powerful warning signs flashing right now.

Not So Fast…

Here are a few reasons why it’s best to take a wait-and-see approach with DDMG:

  • Digital Domain Media Group is being touted as “the company behind the Tupac Hologram.” Which is the undoubtedly the cause of the 20% run-up this week. However, this is only a half-truth. First, as Ars Technica reported, the image wasn’t technically a hologram at all. It was a slick illusion using an age-old theatre technique called Pepper’s Ghost. And the company that projected the image is Arizona-based private company AV Concepts, Inc. The two companies worked closely to create the illusion with Dr. Dre as the mastermind and financial backing behind the endeavor.
  • Although there are already rumors this technology is going to spur a tour including the virtual Tupac, the performance at Coachella was reportedly in the six-figure price range. This high cost will eventually come down, but for now this is something that would have to be saved for a few huge festivals or stadium performances. Meaning it isn’t likely to create a big fad in the near future.
  • Digital Domain Media Group isn’t new to this sort of thing. The company was founded by three men, including none other than film-director James Cameron in 1993. It’s already won a slew of Academy Awards for its digital renderings and special effects. But despite the success and longevity, it isn’t currently a profitable endeavor. That should be a major warning sign to investors.
  • When DDMG IPO’d late last year, it reached more than $7 per share on its first day. Since then it hasn’t even come close to that level – its still under $6.50 even after the recent 20% bump. One reason for this is that earnings have been horrendous. The company had a precipitous drop in annual earnings for 2011 and didn’t even bring in a gross profit in the final two quarters of 2011.

This stock is obviously just rising on the news alone and that bump likely won’t last much longer. As Alexander Green has stated over and over, the only thing that actually pushes stock prices higher in the long run is earnings growth, and right now DDMG is actually experiencing earnings shrinkage – making it an intriguing short candidate.

That being said, it’s a company that’s very good at what it does and one reason earnings are terrible is because of all the projects it’s trying to push forward over the next few years. So it’s worth the watch – and possibly an entry if the price gets low enough – but investors should definitely avoid this run-up.

Good Investing,

Justin Dove

Article by Investment U

Central Bank News Link List – 18 April 2012

By Central Bank News
Here's today's Central Bank News link list, click through if you missed the previous central bank news link list.  Remember, if you want to submit links for inclusion in the daily link list, just email them through to us or post them in the comments section below.

MLPs: Lower Taxes, Bigger Dividends

Article by Investment U

MLPs: Lower Taxes, Bigger Dividends

One solution for income investors who’d prefer to hang on to their money rather than paying the government is master limited partnerships (MLPs).

“Let me tell you how it will be
There’s one for you, nineteen for me
Cause I’m the taxman, yeah, I’m the taxman.

– The Beatles

Like many Americans, I spent this past weekend going over my tax information so I could put it in the mail yesterday – at the last possible minute. I’ve said before, I actually don’t hate paying taxes. I like the fact that my kids go to a decent school, that the military protects us. and if I have to call 911, somebody shows up to help within minutes.

As Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. said, “Taxes are the price we pay for civilization.”

Of course, there’s plenty of waste as well, but that’s a topic for another column.

Just because I understand that taxes are necessary to help our society function, that doesn’t mean that I want to pay one penny more than I’m legally obligated.

Fortunately for income investors, the tax rate on dividends is at a low 15%. Although that could change next year if the Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire.

But even a low tax rate is tough to take in this extremely low interest rate environment. On a two-year CD rate, you’re lucky to get 1%. Take taxes out and your money is barely growing at all.

So it’s not surprising that investors need a way to earn more income and avoid paying taxes on that income at the same time.

But muni bonds won’t do the trick. A quality 10-year municipal bond will get you about 2% on average. That doesn’t even keep pace with inflation – whether you’re paying taxes or not.

Have No Fear, MLPs Are Here

One solution for income investors who’d prefer to hang on to their money rather than paying the government is master limited partnerships (MLPs).

About 80% of all MLPs are oil and gas companies. The rest are in diverse industries including investments and even cemeteries.

A MLP is similar to a real estate investment trust (REIT) in that at least 90% of its income is passed along to unit holders. As a result, the company doesn’t pay corporate tax.

And because it must pay out virtually all of its income to unit holders, MLPs tend to have higher yields than ordinary dividend-paying stocks. For example, the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETF (NYSE: AMLP) has a yield of 6%. It tracks the index, which is comprised of 50 prominent energy-related MLPs.

But here’s where it gets interesting if you own an MLP. Due to a depreciation allowance, most of the income received by MLP unit holders is considered a return of capital, not a dividend. So the 15% (and possibly higher in the future) tax rate does not apply. A return of capital is not taxed, because it’s considered a return of investors’ own money.

Of course, Uncle Sam is going to get his money eventually. What happens is the distribution lowers your cost basis. Once you sell the stock, if you have a lower cost basis, your capital gain will be higher and you’ll pay taxes on the capital gain.

For example, you buy shares of a MLP for $20 per share. In the first year, you receive a cash distribution of $1 per share. For the sake of this example, let’s assume the entire $1 distribution is considered a return of capital. You will not pay taxes on the $1, but your cost basis now drops to $19.

In the following year, you receive another $1 per share distribution. Again, you don’t pay taxes on the $1, but your cost basis is now $18.

In year three, you sell the stock for $22. Even though you originally bought it for $20, your capital gain will be $4, because your cost basis was lowered to $18. You will pay capital gains taxes on the $4.

Keep in mind, that’s just a simplified example. MLPs have a more complex tax structure, so be sure to talk to your tax professional before investing in them.

Tax-Deferred Toll Collectors

What really I like about MLPs is that because they’re already tax deferred, I can keep them in my taxable account, rather than taking up space in my IRAs (you might actually pay a penalty if it’s in your IRA, so be sure to talk to a tax professional). Additionally, I can reinvest the distribution, which is something I do with all of my income-producing stocks, without having to pay taxes on it (or most of it).

I also like the business models of many of the energy MLPs. Very often they’re pipeline companies that aren’t impacted much by the price volatility in oil and gas. They’re simply the toll collectors, allowing the various energy companies to use their pipelines to transport oil and gas. Of course, supply and demand will impact their business, but generally speaking, the day-to-day price change won’t.

One company that I like in the space is Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD). It currently has a yield of 4.9%. Interestingly, this stock is one that I’ve recommended in Oxford Systems Trader – not because of its yield or tax-deferred status but because of its earnings and cash flow growth, as well as the efficiency of its management.

So investors have the opportunity to own the stock of an impressive company, not just a solid income vehicle.

MLPs offer investors the chance to earn a good yield that is mostly tax deferred.

While you may not be paying the 95% super tax that sparked George Harrison’s ire and caused him to write one of his first songs for the Fab 4, there’s still nothing wrong with legally hanging on to your money for as long as you can rather than giving it to the government.

After all, if someone is going to blow their money in Vegas, it might as well be you instead of the GSA.

Good Investing,

Marc Lichtenfeld

Article by Investment U

Aussie and Kiwi advance on IMF Global Economic Outlook Report

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox (Dublin) – South pacific dollars gained against most major currencies today as the International Monetary Fund gave a positive global economic growth outlook today. The report led to an increase in demand of higher yielding assets causing the strengthening of the Australian and New Zealand dollars. The Kiwi increased against the US dollar and the Japanese yen as implied volatility of Group of Seven currencies touched the weakest level in more than three years.

The two south pacific dollars strengthened after reports of an increase in German investor confidence hit the Asian session this morning. The surpassing of the set target at a Spanish bill sale was also an indication that traders are expecting the ECB to alleviate the situation in Spain even after the Spain ten year yields soared to 6.0 percent.

New Zealand and Australian have high interest rate benchmarks of 2.5 percent and 4.25 percent respectively; as a result the declining implied volatility of three month options for Group of Seven currencies to 9.66 percent from a decade’s average of 10.6 percent led to an increase in demand of two currencies.

According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, the global economy will grow by 3.5 percent and 4.1 percent in 2012 and 2013 respectively. This is a revised outlook from its January forecast of 3.3 percent and 3 percent in 2012 and 2013 respectively. Another report by ZEW showed that analysts expectation increased to 23.4 in April from 22.3 reported in March making it the highest level since June 2010. Further, the demand for Spain’s 12-month bills exceeded expectations yesterday. These events have led to the increase of the south pacific currencies in the New York session yesterday which has been dragged in to the Asian session today.

The Aussie was up by 0.3 percent against the greenback exchanging at $1.0390 and exchanged at 84.00 against the yen which is 0.9 percent increase. On the other hand the kiwi grew stronger by 0.1 percent against the US dollar to exchange at 82.10 cents and regained its previous loses against the yen gaining 0.6 percent to trade at 66.38 yen.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

Japanese Yen Weakens Whilst Pound Climbs

Source: ForexYard

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The Japanese Yen fell against most of its Major Currency counterparts for the second-day in a row.
The Yen weakened after the Bank of Japan mentioned that more stimulus may be required despite the fact that it seems global economic growth is gaining momentum.

The Japanese currency took a hit after Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Kiyohiko Nishimura stated that the central bank is prepared to implement additional easing.

According to the Bloomberg Correlation Weighted Indexes, among the Ten-developed nation currencies, the Yen has performed the worst  for the past three months.

Elsewhere the British Pound appreciated shortly after the Bank of England minutes showing policy maker Adam Posens’ push for another stimulus had come to an end.The Pound appreciated 0.8 percent against the 17-nation euro whilst also seeing gains of 0.4 percent versus the U.S dollar.

The Sterling climbed for a second consecutive day against the Euro as a result of Posen joining the majority of the Monetary Policy Committee in indicating no further alterations to the 325 billion pound asset-purchase target.

Forex Market Analysis provided by ForexYard.

© 2006 by FxYard Ltd

Disclaimer: Trading Foreign Exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Foreign Exchange trading.

U.S. Coal Companies Poised for a Rebound?

Article by Investment U

U.S. Coal Companies Poised for a Rebound?

U.S. coal companies like Walter Energy (NYSE: WLT) have taken a beaten throughout the past year. Will this continue, or have the markets overreacted?

Coal companies get no love in the United States anymore.

On March 27, the EPA proposed the first ever Clean Air Act standard for carbon pollution from new power plants.

The proposal will limit any new power plant to emit a maximum of 1,000 pounds of CO2 per megawatt of electricity produced.

Since coal plants emit an average of 1,768 pounds of CO2 per megawatt, it’s obviously going to be a huge problem for coal companies if this legislation is passed.

The Washington Post even says, “The move could end the construction of conventional coal-fired facilities in the United States.”

But as if the future didn’t look dreary enough, demand for coal as America’s primary energy source is already fading.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports electricity generated by coal fell 21% in 2011.

As a result, in the last 12 months, U.S. coal companies have taken a shellacking.

U.S. Coal Producers

The top three U.S. producers, Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI), and Cloud Peak Energy (NYSE: CLD), fell 56%, 70% and 26% respectively.

Yet is it possible the markets may have overreacted and left a good opportunity for some profit taking?

I think so. And here’s why…

It’s All About the Big Picture

Demand for coal in the United States may be declining, but around the world it’s the fastest growing energy source since 2000.

The EIA said it expects coal usage to jump 50% to 10 billion tons by 2030.

And U.S. coal companies have already been steadily been increasing their presence abroad.

The Associated Press recently reported U.S. coal exports topped 107 million tons in 2011, the highest level since 1991 and more than double the volume exported in 2006. This number is expected to jump even higher this year.

Peabody, Arch Coal and Cloud Peak Energy could be propped up for a rebound as U.S. coal exports continue to increase. But there’s another coal company that stands out to me – Walter Energy (NYSE: WLT).

A Pure Play on Metallurgical Coal

Based out of Birmingham, Alabama, Walter Energy is the world’s leading publicly traded metallurgical, or met, coal producer for the global steel industry.

Met coal is an essential part of producing steel. Meanwhile, thermal coal is used for electricity generation.

Even as nations switch to cleaner fuel sources like natural gas and alternative energy for their power grids, met coal will still be a very necessary component to industrial growth anywhere in the world. This makes WLT an attractive candidate for consideration in my opinion.

But there’s a second reason WLT looks ripe for the taking: Nearly 90% of the company’s sales already come from overseas markets. In fact, 75% of them come from Europe and Asia, two of the biggest, fastest growing coal consuming regions of the world.

WLT’s international strategy and specialization in producing met coal enabled it to achieve record revenue of $2.6 billion in 2011, up 62% from 2010. It also reached record met-coal sales of 8.7 million metric tons and record earnings before taxes.

Yet despite all of its achievements, last year was not good for WLT… at all. Shares tumbled 52% as the coal company was beat down with the rest of the industry.

But the falling out may be just about over… At least, WLT’s insiders seem to think so. Over the past four months, they’ve acquired $2.2 million worth of company stock.

There are also rumors WLT could be good potential takeover candidate. This isn’t anything new, but it’s just another reason you should keep a close eye on this uniquely positioned coal company.

Good Investing,

Mike Kapsch

Article by Investment U

EUR/USD Outlook Remains Bearish

By TraderVox.com

Tradervox (Dublin) – Last week saw the euro/dollar pair, close at lower level due to Spanish concerns. However, these concerns have continued to haunt the pair to this week with the pair sliding lower. The eurozone is on the spotlight again with pressure on Spain growing. The country is currently hosting EU inspectors and Italian official are putting on more pressure. Further, the market has pushed Spanish yields higher and the ECB has hinted on reigniting its bond buying scheme, but LTROs are expected. In the US things are better with chances of the third round or quantitative easing diminishing.

The EUR/USD cross registered a one-month low in the Asian session as news of the Spanish banks borrowing a record amount from the ECB hit the market. The situation in Spain continues to worsen with ten-year yields soaring to 6.0 percent. However, the pair has recovered in the European session trading at 1.3032 as German economic sentiment were above the market forecast of 19.7 percent posting a reading of 23.4. The market is expecting the Current Account report today which is projected to drop from 4.5 billion euros to 4.3 billion euros. The Consumer Confidence, the German PPI and German Ifo Business climate are other reports that are expected to affect the pair further this week.

The EUR/USD cross is expected o continue on a bearish trend through to next week as the eurozone debt crisis continues. Analysts are expecting the situation in Spain to deteriorate and the market to put more attention to the regions debt crisis. Traders will be looking for safe haven currencies like the yen, greenback and the Swiss franc. Traders will also find some safety in the sterling pound as positive reports from the region builds investor confidence.

While economic outlook for the US does not look too good either, a weakening dollar and an increase in concerns about a QE3 will be prompted by global economy especially the Chinese economic slowdown. Bad economic outlook for the US and China, which are the largest world economies, means a greater risk aversion which is not supportive of the euro. As such, euro/dollar remains bearish.

Disclaimer
Tradervox.com is not giving advice nor is qualified or licensed to provide financial advice. You must seek guidance from your personal advisors before acting on this information. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. Opinions expressed at Tradervox.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Tradervox.com or its management. 

Article provided by TraderVox.com
Tradervox.com is a Forex News Portal that provides real-time news and analysis relating to the Currency Markets.
News and analysis are produced throughout the day by our in-house staff.
Follow us on twitter: www.twitter.com/tradervox

The Buffett Rule: Do As Warren Buffett Says, Not As He Does

Article by Investment U

The Buffett Rule

Naturally, when Warren Buffett speaks, the rest of us listen. Unfortunately in this case, his words don’t appear to be matching his actions…

Just about everybody has heard of the “Buffett Tax” by now. Also known as the “Billionaire’s Tax” or the “Buffett Rule,” it seeks to establish a minimum 30% tax rate on Americans whose household income equals $1 million or more.

On Monday evening, the Democrat-controlled Senate struck the proposition down 51-45. Despite the majority in favor, the “Buffett Rule” failed to gain the 60 votes it needed to pass, and that was even with Maine’s Susan Collins, a Republican, approving it.

According to a recent Gallup poll, approximately 60% of Americans supported the added tax against “the rich,” which means that a majority of Americans are disappointed with Tuesday morning’s news. That includes The Christian Science Monitor’s Brad Knickerbocker, who recently praised the Buffet Rule as:

“… a wonderful political device – a call to even out the tax burden in a way that picks the pockets of those ‘millionaires and billionaires’ President Obama keeps talking about while evening things out for the vast American middle class. It’s very easy to understand, especially in contrast to a tax code requiring battalions of lawyers to navigate. And it has this wonderfully avuncular fellow for whom it’s named.”

That “avuncular fellow” is of course the legendary investor Warren Buffett. Nicknamed the “Oracle of Omaha,” Buffett runs a supremely successful business buying up undervalued companies and turning them into real moneymakers.

If his accumulated billions don’t testify to his accomplishments enough, his Berkshire Hathaway stock – which is valued at over $119,000 – certainly does. Over the last few decades, that holding company has returned more than 1,000%, and Buffett’s personal $105,000 investment is now worth tens of billions.

Naturally, when Warren Buffett speaks, the rest of us listen. Unfortunately in this case, his words don’t appear to be matching his actions…

Buffett Says He Supports Higher Taxes for the Rich

Last year, Warren Buffett did a lot of speechmaking, mainly about the tax proposal that quickly came to bear his name.

It all started with a piece published by The New York Times, where he aired his thoughts on how rich people like him weren’t paying nearly as much in taxes as they should be, especially when the middle and lower classes were struggling so badly.

Many people construed his initial message and subsequent crusade as noble and selfless. But actions speak a lot louder than words, and the truth is that Buffett’s actual business decisions simply don’t match up with his verbal declarations.

Now part of what makes Buffett such an excellent businessman is that he knows how to read the signs, both when it comes to the economy and public sentiment. (It also doesn’t hurt that, according to Peter Schweizer in his book, Throw Them All Out, Buffett also has powerful crony capitalist ties to Congress.)

So he was very well aware that the Occupy Wall Street movement was making the news every other day in 2011, while the remaining space went to the struggling economy and national deficit. As one of the wealthiest men in the world, he could have easily come under public condemnation in that overarching outcry for excessive spending.

He therefore simply took the necessary steps to protect himself from that possibility. Yet for all of his talk about greater taxation, Buffett and the IRS are anything but the best of friends, as evidenced by their legal history of butting heads.

Buffett’s Battle With the IRS

Over the decades, Warren Buffett has tangled with the IRS more than once.

AIG President Bill Wilson easily remembers “a 14-year battle over the dividends received deduction.” The case was resolved in 2005 in Buffett’s favor, but that wasn’t the end of his disagreements with the IRS.

There’s also the approximate $1 billion in taxes the government says he owes them. That seemingly large sum represents a mere 0.2% of Berkshire Hathaway’s $372 billion total assets, yet Buffett isn’t budging on that lawsuit, either.

The same goes for another tax controversy exposed by The Wall Street Journal, this one involving his decision to invest in Bank of America as a legal – but frowned upon – loophole that allows him to keep even more of this money.

None of that behavior at all matches Buffett’s well-publicized advice on the subject. As the aforementioned Wilson pointed out, “On one hand Buffett advocates for paying more taxes, but when it comes to his own company’s taxes, he has gone through great lengths to pay less.”

That reality discounts him as a credible expert on the subject, at least when it comes to supporting his namesake legislative proposal. It also doesn’t help his case that even the Obama administration and bipartisan panels arranged by the Tax Policy Center in Washington agree that the Buffett Rule wouldn’t do much to change the nation’s economic woes.

As White House National Economic Council Deputy Director Jason Furman explained, the tax “was never our plan to bring the deficit down and get the debt under control.”

That means it was all but worthless. And, despite public sentiment on the subject, Monday’s vote was worthwhile after all.

Good Investing,

Jeanette Di Louie

Article by Investment U